Stock Analysis

Does Sany Heavy IndustryLtd (SHSE:600031) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

SHSE:600031
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Sany Heavy Industry Co.,Ltd (SHSE:600031) does use debt in its business. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. Part and parcel of capitalism is the process of 'creative destruction' where failed businesses are mercilessly liquidated by their bankers. While that is not too common, we often do see indebted companies permanently diluting shareholders because lenders force them to raise capital at a distressed price. By replacing dilution, though, debt can be an extremely good tool for businesses that need capital to invest in growth at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

Check out our latest analysis for Sany Heavy IndustryLtd

What Is Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's Net Debt?

As you can see below, Sany Heavy IndustryLtd had CN¥32.2b of debt at September 2023, down from CN¥39.9b a year prior. However, it also had CN¥30.7b in cash, and so its net debt is CN¥1.52b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SHSE:600031 Debt to Equity History February 28th 2024

How Strong Is Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's Balance Sheet?

The latest balance sheet data shows that Sany Heavy IndustryLtd had liabilities of CN¥59.7b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥25.7b falling due after that. On the other hand, it had cash of CN¥30.7b and CN¥27.6b worth of receivables due within a year. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CN¥27.0b.

Sany Heavy IndustryLtd has a very large market capitalization of CN¥116.2b, so it could very likely raise cash to ameliorate its balance sheet, if the need arose. However, it is still worthwhile taking a close look at its ability to pay off debt. Carrying virtually no net debt, Sany Heavy IndustryLtd has a very light debt load indeed.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's net debt is only 0.18 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT easily covers its interest expense, being 19.2 times the size. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Better yet, Sany Heavy IndustryLtd grew its EBIT by 113% last year, which is an impressive improvement. That boost will make it even easier to pay down debt going forward. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Sany Heavy IndustryLtd reported free cash flow worth 8.6% of its EBIT, which is really quite low. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

The good news is that Sany Heavy IndustryLtd's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. Taking all this data into account, it seems to us that Sany Heavy IndustryLtd takes a pretty sensible approach to debt. That means they are taking on a bit more risk, in the hope of boosting shareholder returns. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Be aware that Sany Heavy IndustryLtd is showing 1 warning sign in our investment analysis , you should know about...

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Sany Heavy IndustryLtd is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.