Jiangsu Jiangyin Rural Commercial Bank Co.,LTD.

SZSE:002807 Stock Report

Market Cap: CN¥10.4b

Jiangsu Jiangyin Rural Commercial BankLTD Valuation

Is 002807 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 002807 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 002807 (CN¥4.23) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥12.12)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 002807 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 002807?

Key metric: As 002807 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 002807. This is calculated by dividing 002807's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 002807's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio5.3x
EarningsCN¥1.96b
Market CapCN¥10.39b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 002807's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 002807 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average5.8x
002839 Jiangsu Zhangjiagang Rural Commercial Bank
5.9x9.1%CN¥10.5b
603323 Jiangsu Suzhou Rural Commercial Bank
4.9x11.8%CN¥9.5b
601860 Jiangsu Zijin Rural Commercial BankLtd
6.4xn/aCN¥10.4b
600908 Wuxi Rural Commercial BankLtd
5.8x8.7%CN¥12.7b
002807 Jiangsu Jiangyin Rural Commercial BankLTD
5.3x10.5%CN¥10.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 002807 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the peer average (5.8x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 002807's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the CN Banks Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies available in this PE range
002807 5.3xIndustry Avg. 5.9xNo. of Companies15PE0612182430+
0 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 002807 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the CN Banks industry average (5.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 002807's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

002807 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.3x
Fair PE Ratio5.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 002807 is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.2x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst 002807 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCN¥4.23
CN¥4.54
+7.3%
0.4%CN¥4.56CN¥4.52n/a2
Dec ’25CN¥4.20
CN¥4.54
+8.1%
0.4%CN¥4.56CN¥4.52n/a2
Nov ’25CN¥4.01
CN¥4.54
+13.2%
0.4%CN¥4.56CN¥4.52n/a2
Oct ’25CN¥4.28
CN¥4.54
+6.1%
0.4%CN¥4.56CN¥4.52n/a2
Sep ’25CN¥3.69
CN¥4.97
+34.7%
9.1%CN¥5.42CN¥4.52n/a2
Aug ’25CN¥3.77
CN¥4.98
+32.1%
8.8%CN¥5.42CN¥4.54n/a2
Jul ’25CN¥3.82
CN¥4.98
+30.4%
8.8%CN¥5.42CN¥4.54n/a2
Jun ’25CN¥4.14
CN¥4.77
+15.2%
9.8%CN¥5.42CN¥4.35n/a3
May ’25CN¥3.93
CN¥4.77
+21.4%
9.8%CN¥5.42CN¥4.35n/a3
Apr ’25CN¥3.86
CN¥4.79
+24.0%
10.2%CN¥5.47CN¥4.35n/a3
Mar ’25CN¥3.72
CN¥4.92
+32.3%
9.3%CN¥5.47CN¥4.35n/a3
Feb ’25CN¥3.63
CN¥4.92
+35.6%
9.3%CN¥5.47CN¥4.35n/a3
Jan ’25CN¥3.55
CN¥4.92
+38.7%
9.3%CN¥5.47CN¥4.35n/a3
Dec ’24CN¥3.60
CN¥4.92
+36.8%
9.3%CN¥5.47CN¥4.35CN¥4.203
Nov ’24CN¥3.65
CN¥4.65
+27.4%
6.5%CN¥4.95CN¥4.35CN¥4.012
Oct ’24CN¥3.82
CN¥5.87
+53.6%
24.2%CN¥7.87CN¥4.78CN¥4.283
Sep ’24CN¥3.73
CN¥5.87
+57.3%
24.2%CN¥7.87CN¥4.78CN¥3.693
Aug ’24CN¥3.99
CN¥5.98
+49.8%
22.4%CN¥7.87CN¥4.97CN¥3.773
Jul ’24CN¥3.69
CN¥5.98
+62.0%
22.4%CN¥7.87CN¥4.97CN¥3.823
Jun ’24CN¥3.98
CN¥5.98
+50.2%
22.4%CN¥7.87CN¥4.97CN¥4.143
May ’24CN¥4.08
CN¥5.98
+46.5%
22.4%CN¥7.87CN¥4.97CN¥3.933
Apr ’24CN¥3.99
CN¥5.98
+49.8%
22.4%CN¥7.87CN¥4.97CN¥3.863
Mar ’24CN¥4.28
CN¥5.71
+33.4%
5.7%CN¥6.25CN¥5.41CN¥3.724
Feb ’24CN¥4.24
CN¥5.71
+34.6%
5.7%CN¥6.25CN¥5.41CN¥3.634
Jan ’24CN¥3.97
CN¥5.71
+43.8%
5.7%CN¥6.25CN¥5.41CN¥3.554
Dec ’23CN¥4.03
CN¥5.71
+41.6%
5.7%CN¥6.25CN¥5.41CN¥3.604

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/23 12:29
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/23 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Jiangsu Jiangyin Rural Commercial Bank Co.,LTD. is covered by 10 analysts. 3 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Dong PuChangjiang Securities Co. LTD.
Yifeng WangEverbright Securities Co. Ltd.
Jian WangGuosen Securities Co., Ltd.