Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology's (SZSE:301322) Anemic Earnings Might Be Worse Than You Think
Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology Co., LTD's (SZSE:301322) recent weak earnings report didn't cause a big stock movement. However, we believe that investors should be aware of some underlying factors which may be of concern.
See our latest analysis for Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology
Examining Cashflow Against Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology's Earnings
Many investors haven't heard of the accrual ratio from cashflow, but it is actually a useful measure of how well a company's profit is backed up by free cash flow (FCF) during a given period. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. The ratio shows us how much a company's profit exceeds its FCF.
Therefore, it's actually considered a good thing when a company has a negative accrual ratio, but a bad thing if its accrual ratio is positive. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. That's because some academic studies have suggested that high accruals ratios tend to lead to lower profit or less profit growth.
Over the twelve months to March 2024, Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology recorded an accrual ratio of 0.33. Therefore, we know that it's free cashflow was significantly lower than its statutory profit, raising questions about how useful that profit figure really is. To wit, it produced free cash flow of CN¥37m during the period, falling well short of its reported profit of CN¥241.1m. Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology's free cash flow actually declined over the last year, but it may bounce back next year, since free cash flow is often more volatile than accounting profits.
That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.
Our Take On Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology's Profit Performance
As we have made quite clear, we're a bit worried that Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology didn't back up the last year's profit with free cashflow. As a result, we think it may well be the case that Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology's underlying earnings power is lower than its statutory profit. But on the bright side, its earnings per share have grown at an extremely impressive rate over the last three years. Of course, we've only just scratched the surface when it comes to analysing its earnings; one could also consider margins, forecast growth, and return on investment, among other factors. So if you'd like to dive deeper into this stock, it's crucial to consider any risks it's facing. Be aware that Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those is a bit concerning...
Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SZSE:301322
Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology
Guangdong Lvtong New Energy Electric Vehicle Technology Co., Ltd.
Flawless balance sheet and overvalued.