Stock Analysis

Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's (SZSE:002920) Profits May Not Reveal Underlying Issues

SZSE:002920
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Huizhou Desay SV Automotive Co., Ltd.'s (SZSE:002920) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that shareholders have noticed some concerning factors beyond the statutory profit numbers.

Check out our latest analysis for Huizhou Desay SV Automotive

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SZSE:002920 Earnings and Revenue History November 6th 2024

Examining Cashflow Against Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's Earnings

One key financial ratio used to measure how well a company converts its profit to free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio. The accrual ratio subtracts the FCF from the profit for a given period, and divides the result by the average operating assets of the company over that time. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

That means a negative accrual ratio is a good thing, because it shows that the company is bringing in more free cash flow than its profit would suggest. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

For the year to September 2024, Huizhou Desay SV Automotive had an accrual ratio of 0.23. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Indeed, in the last twelve months it reported free cash flow of CN¥67m, which is significantly less than its profit of CN¥1.99b. Given that Huizhou Desay SV Automotive had negative free cash flow in the prior corresponding period, the trailing twelve month resul of CN¥67m would seem to be a step in the right direction.

That might leave you wondering what analysts are forecasting in terms of future profitability. Luckily, you can click here to see an interactive graph depicting future profitability, based on their estimates.

Our Take On Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's Profit Performance

Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's accrual ratio for the last twelve months signifies cash conversion is less than ideal, which is a negative when it comes to our view of its earnings. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. If you'd like to know more about Huizhou Desay SV Automotive as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. For instance, we've identified 2 warning signs for Huizhou Desay SV Automotive (1 is significant) you should be familiar with.

Today we've zoomed in on a single data point to better understand the nature of Huizhou Desay SV Automotive's profit. But there are plenty of other ways to inform your opinion of a company. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. While it might take a little research on your behalf, you may find this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks with significant insider holdings to be useful.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Huizhou Desay SV Automotive might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.