Stock Analysis

Does Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd (SHSE:601689) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

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SHSE:601689

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. We can see that Ningbo Tuopu Group Co.,Ltd. (SHSE:601689) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd

What Is Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of June 2024, Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd had CN¥7.12b of debt, up from CN¥5.45b a year ago. Click the image for more detail. On the flip side, it has CN¥5.69b in cash leading to net debt of about CN¥1.43b.

SHSE:601689 Debt to Equity History October 16th 2024

A Look At Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd's Liabilities

The latest balance sheet data shows that Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd had liabilities of CN¥11.3b due within a year, and liabilities of CN¥4.67b falling due after that. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CN¥5.69b as well as receivables valued at CN¥6.51b due within 12 months. So it has liabilities totalling CN¥3.79b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd has a market capitalization of CN¥70.9b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. However, we do think it is worth keeping an eye on its balance sheet strength, as it may change over time.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd has a low net debt to EBITDA ratio of only 0.36. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 16.1 times over. So we're pretty relaxed about its super-conservative use of debt. Also good is that Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd grew its EBIT at 18% over the last year, further increasing its ability to manage debt. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. Over the last three years, Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd saw substantial negative free cash flow, in total. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.

Our View

Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd's interest cover suggests it can handle its debt as easily as Cristiano Ronaldo could score a goal against an under 14's goalkeeper. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. All these things considered, it appears that Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example - Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd has 2 warning signs we think you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Ningbo Tuopu GroupLtd might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.