Great Wall Motor Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of 601633 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

601633 (CN¥27.55) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CN¥58)

Is 601633 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 601633 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 601633 (CN¥27.55) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CN¥58)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 601633 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 601633?

Key metric: As 601633 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 601633. This is calculated by dividing 601633's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 601633's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	8.7x
Earnings	CN¥12.45b
Market Cap	CN¥199.88b

601633 key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	0.9x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	9.5x
PEG Ratio	1.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 601633's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 601633 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	61.3x
600104 SAIC Motor	19.6x	7.8%	CN¥188.7b
000625 Chongqing Changan Automobile	29.4x	20.6%	CN¥128.9b
600418 Anhui Jianghuai Automobile GroupLtd	145.9x	29.6%	CN¥86.5b
601127 Seres GroupLtd	50.2x	31.4%	CN¥194.9b
601633 Great Wall Motor	8.7x	7.4%	CN¥214.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 601633 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the peer average (61.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 601633's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Asian Auto Industry?

1 Company	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

1 Company		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 601633 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the Asian Auto industry average (17.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 601633's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

601633 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	8.7x
Fair PE Ratio	16.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: 601633 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (8.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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