Stock Analysis

Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral's (SNSE:LITORAL) Earnings Are Weaker Than They Seem

SNSE:LITORAL
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Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral S.A. (SNSE:LITORAL) announced strong profits, but the stock was stagnant. We did some digging, and we found some concerning factors in the details.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the CL Electric Utilities industry.

earnings-and-revenue-history
SNSE:LITORAL Earnings and Revenue History December 7th 2022

A Closer Look At Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral's Earnings

In high finance, the key ratio used to measure how well a company converts reported profits into free cash flow (FCF) is the accrual ratio (from cashflow). In plain english, this ratio subtracts FCF from net profit, and divides that number by the company's average operating assets over that period. You could think of the accrual ratio from cashflow as the 'non-FCF profit ratio'.

As a result, a negative accrual ratio is a positive for the company, and a positive accrual ratio is a negative. While it's not a problem to have a positive accrual ratio, indicating a certain level of non-cash profits, a high accrual ratio is arguably a bad thing, because it indicates paper profits are not matched by cash flow. To quote a 2014 paper by Lewellen and Resutek, "firms with higher accruals tend to be less profitable in the future".

Over the twelve months to September 2022, Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral recorded an accrual ratio of 0.21. Unfortunately, that means its free cash flow fell significantly short of its reported profits. Over the last year it actually had negative free cash flow of CL$891m, in contrast to the aforementioned profit of CL$2.63b. It's worth noting that Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral generated positive FCF of CL$796m a year ago, so at least they've done it in the past.

Note: we always recommend investors check balance sheet strength. Click here to be taken to our balance sheet analysis of Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral.

Our Take On Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral's Profit Performance

Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral didn't convert much of its profit to free cash flow in the last year, which some investors may consider rather suboptimal. Therefore, it seems possible to us that Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral's true underlying earnings power is actually less than its statutory profit. But the good news is that its EPS growth over the last three years has been very impressive. At the end of the day, it's essential to consider more than just the factors above, if you want to understand the company properly. So while earnings quality is important, it's equally important to consider the risks facing Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral at this point in time. Be aware that Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral is showing 2 warning signs in our investment analysis and 1 of those makes us a bit uncomfortable...

This note has only looked at a single factor that sheds light on the nature of Compañía Eléctrica del Litoral's profit. But there is always more to discover if you are capable of focussing your mind on minutiae. For example, many people consider a high return on equity as an indication of favorable business economics, while others like to 'follow the money' and search out stocks that insiders are buying. So you may wish to see this free collection of companies boasting high return on equity, or this list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.