Empresas Copec S.A.

SNSE:COPEC Stock Report

Market Cap: CL$7.7t

Empresas Copec Valuation

Is COPEC undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

6/6

Valuation Score 6/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of COPEC when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: COPEC (CLP5940) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CLP12731.74)

Significantly Below Fair Value: COPEC is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for COPEC?

Key metric: As COPEC is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for COPEC. This is calculated by dividing COPEC's market cap by their current earnings.
What is COPEC's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio7.5x
EarningsUS$1.04b
Market CapUS$7.80b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does COPEC's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for COPEC vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average17.1x
FALABELLA Falabella
26.2x21.9%CL$8.7t
AN AutoNation
9.3x6.9%US$6.6b
PAG Penske Automotive Group
12x2.7%US$10.5b
MUSA Murphy USA
20.9x7.2%US$10.5b
COPEC Empresas Copec
7.5x1.4%CL$7.7t

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: COPEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the peer average (17.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does COPEC's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Specialty Retail Industry?

16 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
COPEC 7.5xIndustry Avg. 16.3xNo. of Companies80PE01224364860+
16 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: COPEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the Global Specialty Retail industry average (16.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is COPEC's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

COPEC PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio7.5x
Fair PE Ratio16.3x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: COPEC is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.5x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (16.3x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst COPEC forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$5,940.00
CL$7,845.83
+32.1%
13.1%CL$10,430.85CL$6,597.70n/a13
Dec ’25CL$6,051.00
CL$7,961.55
+31.6%
12.2%CL$10,477.32CL$7,003.06n/a13
Nov ’25CL$6,070.00
CL$7,998.78
+31.8%
12.2%CL$10,294.77CL$7,015.03n/a13
Oct ’25CL$6,045.00
CL$7,799.63
+29.0%
11.5%CL$9,726.80CL$6,494.18n/a14
Sep ’25CL$5,987.30
CL$7,856.16
+31.2%
11.1%CL$9,781.66CL$6,321.66n/a14
Aug ’25CL$6,450.00
CL$8,219.17
+27.4%
11.8%CL$10,452.63CL$6,619.90n/a14
Jul ’25CL$7,041.10
CL$8,222.28
+16.8%
12.0%CL$10,492.96CL$6,636.38n/a12
Jun ’25CL$7,619.50
CL$7,574.89
-0.6%
11.5%CL$8,770.48CL$6,363.85n/a12
May ’25CL$6,851.00
CL$7,453.19
+8.8%
9.9%CL$8,802.44CL$6,266.61n/a12
Apr ’25CL$6,826.00
CL$7,667.22
+12.3%
9.8%CL$9,089.29CL$6,470.82n/a13
Mar ’25CL$6,190.00
CL$7,664.84
+23.8%
10.1%CL$8,994.63CL$6,403.43n/a13
Feb ’25CL$6,015.00
CL$7,474.01
+24.3%
10.5%CL$8,947.82CL$6,296.30n/a13
Jan ’25CL$6,410.00
CL$7,217.62
+12.6%
12.8%CL$9,162.94CL$5,877.79n/a13
Dec ’24CL$6,503.00
CL$6,845.84
+5.3%
14.3%CL$8,813.70CL$5,034.81CL$6,051.0013
Nov ’24CL$5,925.00
CL$7,453.27
+25.8%
13.4%CL$8,655.49CL$5,472.46CL$6,070.0014
Oct ’24CL$6,300.00
CL$7,326.49
+16.3%
11.7%CL$8,450.49CL$5,535.76CL$6,045.0014
Sep ’24CL$6,030.00
CL$7,151.65
+18.6%
11.7%CL$8,146.80CL$5,336.82CL$5,987.3013
Aug ’24CL$6,718.00
CL$7,122.76
+6.0%
12.1%CL$8,460.33CL$5,189.13CL$6,450.0013
Jul ’24CL$5,950.00
CL$7,073.49
+18.9%
15.6%CL$8,519.30CL$4,746.16CL$7,041.1014
Jun ’24CL$5,850.00
CL$7,101.79
+21.4%
15.3%CL$8,558.59CL$4,947.13CL$7,619.5014
May ’24CL$5,617.00
CL$7,045.91
+25.4%
14.0%CL$8,427.69CL$4,957.32CL$6,851.0014
Apr ’24CL$5,610.00
CL$7,145.41
+27.4%
10.1%CL$8,332.08CL$5,849.59CL$6,826.0014
Mar ’24CL$5,910.00
CL$7,876.98
+33.3%
12.3%CL$9,732.44CL$6,643.21CL$6,190.0014
Feb ’24CL$6,045.00
CL$7,479.31
+23.7%
11.8%CL$9,374.64CL$6,398.99CL$6,015.0014
Jan ’24CL$6,329.00
CL$7,907.15
+24.9%
10.7%CL$10,007.35CL$6,848.57CL$6,410.0014
Dec ’23CL$6,140.00
CL$8,214.05
+33.8%
9.7%CL$9,935.19CL$7,033.36CL$6,503.0014

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/20 21:44
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/20 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

Empresas Copec S.A. is covered by 26 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Leonardo NeratikaBofA Global Research
Guilherme RositoBofA Global Research
Rafael BarcellosBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários