Empresas Copec S.A.

SNSE:COPEC Stock Report

Market Cap: CL$7.6t

Empresas Copec Future Growth

Future criteria checks 2/6

Empresas Copec is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 7% and 4% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 7.4% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 8.8% in 3 years.

Key information

7.0%

Earnings growth rate

7.37%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth16.6%
Revenue growth rate4.0%
Future return on equity8.75%
Analyst coverage

Good

Last updated25 Jun 2026

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update • Jun 23

COPEC: Higher Margin Outlook Will Support A Stronger Future Re Rating

Analysts now place Empresas Copec's fair value at CLP 7,329.61, a shift from CLP 7,403.34. The revised estimate reflects updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples.
Narrative Update • Jun 07

COPEC: Revised Assumptions Will Keep Fair Valuation Balanced Between Risks And Upside

Analysts have updated their CLP fair value estimate for Empresas Copec from CLP5,510.98 to CLP5,635.09, reflecting revised assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin, and future P/E. What's in the News No recent news items, periodical coverage, or disclosed key developments are available for Empresas Copec based on the provided sources.
Narrative Update • May 24

COPEC: Lower P/E Assumption Will Support A More Optimistic Long Term Outlook

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Empresas Copec from CLP 9,883.50 to CLP 9,564.78, citing updated assumptions for revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Trimmed from CLP9,883.50 to CLP9,564.78, a reduction of about 3% in the modelled estimate.
Narrative Update • May 02

COPEC: Higher Margin Outlook Will Support A Stronger Future Re Rating

Analysts have lifted their fair value estimate for Empresas Copec from CLP 7,062 to CLP 7,403, reflecting updated views on discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins and future P/E assumptions. Valuation Changes Fair Value: CLP 7,062.25 updated to CLP 7,403.34, a modest upward revision in the valuation reference point.
Narrative Update • Apr 18

COPEC: Lower Future P/E Multiple Will Pressure Overvalued Shares

Analysts have trimmed their Empresas Copec fair value estimate from CLP5,804.15 to CLP5,510.98, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margins, and a lower future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: CLP5,804.15 to CLP5,510.98, a modest reduction in the intrinsic value estimate.
Narrative Update • Apr 04

COPEC: Higher Future P/E Assumption Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook

Analysts have modestly lifted their fair value estimate for Empresas Copec to CLP 9,883 from CLP 9,666, reflecting updated assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E. Valuation Changes Fair Value: Updated estimate is CLP 9,883, compared with the prior CLP 9,666.
Narrative Update • Mar 20

COPEC: Higher Future P/E Assumption Will Support A More Optimistic Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their view on Empresas Copec, nudging the fair value estimate from CLP 9,640.62 to CLP 9,666.43 as they balance slightly higher assumed revenue growth with lower projected profit margins and a higher future P/E multiple. Valuation Changes Fair Value: CLP 9,640.62 adjusted to CLP 9,666.43, a small upward move in the modelled estimate.
Narrative Update • Mar 05

COPEC: Higher Required Return And Lower Revenue Outlook Will Pressure Shares

Analysts now set their fair value estimate for Empresas Copec at CLP 5,804, up from CLP 5,562. This reflects updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth and future P/E that they see as better aligned with current conditions for the business.
Narrative Update • Feb 19

COPEC: Revised Assumptions Will Support A Steady And Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have nudged their Empresas Copec fair value estimate higher from CLP 6,981 to CLP 7,062, citing slightly adjusted assumptions around the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E as the key drivers behind the new price target. Valuation Changes Fair Value: The updated estimate has moved from CLP 6,981 to CLP 7,062, reflecting a modest adjustment to the model inputs.
Analysis Article • Feb 13

Subdued Growth No Barrier To Empresas Copec S.A.'s (SNSE:COPEC) Price

It's not a stretch to say that Empresas Copec S.A.'s ( SNSE:COPEC ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 13x right now...
Narrative Update • Feb 05

COPEC: Higher Required Return Will Pressure Future Share Performance

Analysts have reduced their fair value estimate for Empresas Copec from $5,697.91 to $5,561.80, citing updated assumptions for the discount rate, revenue growth, profit margin and future P/E multiples. Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate was trimmed from CLP$5,697.91 to CLP$5,561.80.
Narrative Update • Jan 20

COPEC: Lower Multiple And Policy Uncertainty Will Pressure Future Returns

Analysts have trimmed their fair value estimate for Empresas Copec from CLP$5,851.51 to CLP$5,697.91, reflecting updated assumptions around discount rates, revenue growth, profit margins, and future P/E levels. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for October 30, 2025, to consider the General Policy for the Election of Directors in subsidiaries, specifically applying to Arauco as a direct subsidiary supervised by the Commission (Key Developments).
Narrative Update • Jan 06

COPEC: Board Review And Investor Day Will Guide Balanced Future Outlook

Analysts have adjusted their price target for Empresas Copec to CLP$6,981 from CLP$7,293, reflecting updated assumptions that combine a slightly lower discount rate, higher projected revenue growth, a modestly lower profit margin, and a small change in expected future P/E. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for October 30, 2025, to review the General Policy for the Election of Directors in subsidiaries, with specific reference to Arauco as a direct subsidiary supervised by the Commission (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Jan 01

Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) Is Experiencing Growth In Returns On Capital

There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Firstly, we'll want to see a...
Narrative Update • Dec 16

COPEC: Higher Discount Rate Will Pressure Margins And Future Earnings

Analysts have trimmed their price target for Empresas Copec slightly to CLP 5,851 from CLP 5,950, citing a higher assumed discount rate and more conservative expectations for profit margins, despite a modestly improved revenue growth outlook. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for October 30, 2025 to review and consider a general policy for the election of directors in subsidiaries, specifically affecting Arauco as a direct subsidiary under regulatory supervision (company event filing) Upcoming Analyst and Investor Day announced, signaling management’s intention to update the market on strategy, capital allocation, and subsidiary performance (company event filing) Valuation Changes Fair Value Estimate trimmed slightly to CLP 5,851 from CLP 5,950, reflecting a modestly more conservative stance on intrinsic value Discount Rate increased marginally to 15.21 percent from 14.75 percent, implying a higher required return and risk assessment Revenue Growth revised upward to a smaller expected decline of around 0.12 percent from a previous 1.77 percent contraction, indicating a less negative growth outlook Net Profit Margin reduced meaningfully to 1.04 percent from 1.46 percent, signaling more cautious expectations for profitability Future P/E raised significantly to 43.3x from 30.8x, suggesting a higher valuation multiple applied to forecast earnings
Narrative Update • Dec 02

COPEC: Upcoming Board Meeting And Investor Event Will Shape Outlook

Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Empresas Copec from CLP 7,341 to CLP 7,293, citing a more cautious outlook on revenue growth and profit margins. What's in the News Board meeting scheduled for October 30, 2025, to discuss the general policy for the election of directors in subsidiaries, with a specific focus on Arauco as a direct subsidiary (Key Developments).
Analysis Article • Nov 25

These 4 Measures Indicate That Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) Is Using Debt Extensively

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narrative Update • Nov 18

COPEC: Upcoming Board Meeting And Investor Event Will Shape Outlook

Narrative Update: Empresas Copec Analyst Price Target Revision Analysts have slightly lowered their price target for Empresas Copec from $7,387.96 to $7,340.96. This change reflects generally stable estimates, with a modest adjustment based on updated expectations for revenue growth and profit margins.
Narrative Update • Oct 31

COPEC: Marginal Forecast Adjustments Will Maintain Balanced Outlook Amid Industry Headwinds

Analysts have made a slight downward adjustment to the target price for Empresas Copec, decreasing it by CLP 7.72 to CLP 7,387.96. They cite marginal changes in the company's underlying financial projections as the reason for this adjustment.
Analysis Article • Oct 30

Empresas Copec S.A.'s (SNSE:COPEC) Earnings Are Not Doing Enough For Some Investors

Empresas Copec S.A.'s ( SNSE:COPEC ) price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 8.8x might make it look like a buy right now...
Narrative Update • Oct 17

Decarbonization Will Erode Fossil Fuel Profitability

Analysts have slightly reduced their price target for Empresas Copec, lowering the fair value estimate from $7,432.71 to $7,395.68. Updated assessments reflect minor adjustments in the discount rate and revenue growth projections.
Analysis Article • Oct 08

Empresas Copec S.A. (SNSE:COPEC) Shares Could Be 34% Above Their Intrinsic Value Estimate

Key Insights The projected fair value for Empresas Copec is CL$5,093 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current...
Narrative Update • Oct 03

Decarbonization Will Erode Fossil Fuel Profitability

Analysts have revised their fair value estimate for Empresas Copec downward from CLP 7,610.71 to CLP 7,432.71. This change is due to modest increases in revenue growth and profit margin being offset by a higher discount rate and a lower projected future P/E ratio.
Analysis Article • Sep 13

Investors Will Want Empresas Copec's (SNSE:COPEC) Growth In ROCE To Persist

Did you know there are some financial metrics that can provide clues of a potential multi-bagger? Firstly, we'd want to...
Analysis Article • Aug 23

We Think That There Are Some Issues For Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) Beyond Its Promising Earnings

Empresas Copec S.A.'s ( SNSE:COPEC ) robust recent earnings didn't do much to move the stock. We believe that...
Analysis Article • Jul 30

Benign Growth For Empresas Copec S.A. (SNSE:COPEC) Underpins Its Share Price

With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 7.6x Empresas Copec S.A. ( SNSE:COPEC ) may be sending bullish signals at...
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New Narrative • Feb 24

New Sucuriú Pulp Mill Will Boost Production But Market Risks In China May Affect Earnings

Debt reduction through asset sales in Brazil should improve net margins by decreasing interest expenses.

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SNSE:COPEC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsFree Cash FlowCash from OpAvg. No. Analysts
12/31/202833,9561,0041,0422,2348
12/31/202731,705700-6891,88811
12/31/202632,089818-1,6011,96011
3/31/202630,0819401632,594N/A
12/31/202529,638877-1912,004N/A
9/30/202528,889826-1401,769N/A
6/30/202528,8201,0324372,029N/A
3/31/202528,8911,0923151,702N/A
12/31/202428,7501,1118072,115N/A
9/30/202429,0321,0291,1252,290N/A
6/30/202428,8405727551,964N/A
3/31/202428,4593308102,106N/A
12/31/202328,5282572111,543N/A
9/30/202328,399144-3801,019N/A
6/30/202328,666657-5001,053N/A
3/31/202329,163983-785826N/A
12/31/202228,6131,408-5331,200N/A
9/30/202228,4861,890-8051,043N/A
6/30/202227,7322,164-4801,339N/A
3/31/202226,2192,1321571,958N/A
12/31/202124,7871,7811331,827N/A
9/30/202122,6411,4229642,652N/A
6/30/202120,5867858422,587N/A
3/31/202118,0084137142,415N/A
12/31/202018,059191711,891N/A
9/30/202018,866-134-5391,274N/A
6/30/202020,562-210-723931N/A
3/31/202023,194-43-909737N/A
12/31/201923,716172N/A1,056N/A
9/30/201924,133526N/A1,534N/A
6/30/201923,939812N/A1,651N/A
3/31/201924,1451,012N/A1,831N/A
12/31/201823,9701,071N/A1,710N/A
9/30/201823,2371,029N/A1,651N/A
6/30/201822,3961,032N/A1,594N/A
3/31/201821,227871N/A1,591N/A
12/31/201720,353639N/A1,594N/A
9/30/201719,579666N/A1,603N/A
6/30/201718,638472N/A1,391N/A
3/31/201717,776471N/A1,279N/A
12/31/201616,699554N/A1,512N/A
9/30/201616,190465N/A1,356N/A
6/30/201616,397490N/A1,568N/A
3/31/201617,264511N/A1,482N/A
12/31/201518,160539N/A1,526N/A
9/30/201519,907622N/A1,669N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: COPEC's forecast earnings growth (7% per year) is above the savings rate (5.7%).

Earnings vs Market: COPEC's earnings (7% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the CL market (4.5% per year).

High Growth Earnings: COPEC's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.

Revenue vs Market: COPEC's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the CL market (5.1% per year).

High Growth Revenue: COPEC's revenue (4% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: COPEC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (8.8%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/07/06 03:27
End of Day Share Price 2026/07/03 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Empresas Copec S.A. is covered by 20 analysts. 11 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Guilherme RositoBofA Global Research
Murilo RicciniBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários
Rafael BarcellosBradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários