Empresas Copec Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Empresas Copec's earnings are forecast to decline at 6.7% per annum while its annual revenue is expected to grow at 0.7% per year. EPS is expected to decline by 6.3% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 6.2% in 3 years.

Key information

-6.7%

Earnings growth rate

-6.3%

EPS growth rate

Specialty Retail earnings growth	1.1%
Revenue growth rate	0.7%
Future return on equity	6.2%
Analyst coverage	Good
Last updated	12 Feb 2025

Recent future growth updates

Recent updates

Empresas Copec S.A.'s (SNSE:COPEC) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

Feb 12

Is Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) Using Too Much Debt?

Jan 16

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Empresas Copec's (SNSE:COPEC) Earnings

Nov 15

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

SNSE:COPEC - Analysts future estimates and past financials data (USD Millions)
Date	Revenue	Earnings	Free Cash Flow	Cash from Op	Avg. No. Analysts
12/31/2027	30,663	744	-290	N/A	2
12/31/2026	29,254	1,050	-853	2,448	10
12/31/2025	28,495	982	-221	2,465	12
12/31/2024	28,802	1,153	517	2,153	11
9/30/2024	29,228	1,038	1,125	2,290	N/A
6/30/2024	29,195	581	755	1,964	N/A
3/31/2024	28,964	331	810	2,106	N/A
12/31/2023	29,179	258	211	1,543	N/A
9/30/2023	28,399	144	-380	1,019	N/A
6/30/2023	28,666	657	-500	1,053	N/A
3/31/2023	29,163	983	-785	826	N/A
12/31/2022	28,613	1,408	-533	1,200	N/A
9/30/2022	28,486	1,890	-805	1,043	N/A
6/30/2022	27,732	2,164	-480	1,339	N/A
3/31/2022	26,219	2,132	157	1,958	N/A
12/31/2021	24,787	1,781	133	1,827	N/A
9/30/2021	22,641	1,422	964	2,652	N/A
6/30/2021	20,586	785	842	2,587	N/A
3/31/2021	18,008	413	714	2,415	N/A
12/31/2020	18,059	191	71	1,891	N/A
9/30/2020	18,866	-134	-539	1,274	N/A
6/30/2020	20,562	-210	-723	931	N/A
3/31/2020	23,194	-43	-909	737	N/A
12/31/2019	23,716	172	-398	1,056	N/A
9/30/2019	24,133	526	111	1,534	N/A
6/30/2019	23,939	812	306	1,651	N/A
3/31/2019	24,145	1,012	618	1,831	N/A
12/31/2018	23,970	1,071	576	1,710	N/A
9/30/2018	23,237	1,029	715	1,651	N/A
6/30/2018	22,396	1,032	N/A	1,594	N/A
3/31/2018	21,227	871	N/A	1,591	N/A
12/31/2017	20,353	639	N/A	1,594	N/A
9/30/2017	19,579	666	N/A	1,603	N/A
6/30/2017	18,638	472	N/A	1,391	N/A
3/31/2017	17,776	471	N/A	1,279	N/A
12/31/2016	16,699	554	N/A	1,512	N/A
9/30/2016	16,190	465	N/A	1,356	N/A
6/30/2016	16,397	490	N/A	1,568	N/A
3/31/2016	17,264	511	N/A	1,482	N/A
12/31/2015	18,160	539	N/A	1,526	N/A
9/30/2015	19,907	622	N/A	1,669	N/A
6/30/2015	21,502	632	N/A	1,580	N/A
3/31/2015	22,534	656	N/A	1,767	N/A
12/31/2014	23,855	856	N/A	1,425	N/A
9/30/2014	23,940	817	N/A	1,491	N/A
6/30/2014	24,157	881	N/A	1,509	N/A
3/31/2014	24,375	886	N/A	1,470	N/A

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings vs Savings Rate: COPEC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.7% per year).

Earnings vs Market: COPEC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years (-6.7% per year).

High Growth Earnings: COPEC's earnings are forecast to decline over the next 3 years.

Revenue vs Market: COPEC's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow faster than the CL market (-3.3% per year).

High Growth Revenue: COPEC's revenue (0.7% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

Future ROE: COPEC's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (6.2%).

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

Data	Last Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis	2025/02/15 06:54
End of Day Share Price	2025/02/14 00:00
Earnings	2024/09/30
Annual Earnings	2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

Package	Data	Timeframe	Example US Source ^*
Company Financials	10 years	Income statement Cash flow statement Balance sheet	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form 10-Q
Analyst Consensus Estimates	+3 years	Forecast financials Analyst price targets	Analyst Research Reports Blue Matrix
Market Prices	30 years	Stock prices Dividends, Splits and Actions	ICE Market Data SEC Form S-1
Ownership	10 years	Top shareholders Insider trading	SEC Form 4 SEC Form 13D
Management	10 years	Leadership team Board of directors	SEC Form 10-K SEC Form DEF 14A
Key Developments	10 years	Company announcements	SEC Form 8-K

^* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Empresas Copec S.A. is covered by 26 analysts. 12 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

Analyst	Institution
Leonardo Neratika	BofA Global Research
Guilherme Rosito	BofA Global Research
Rafael Barcellos	Bradesco S.A. Corretora de Títulos e Valores Mobiliários

Empresas Copec Future Growth

Future criteria checks 1/6

Key information

Recent future growth updates

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%, revenue downgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 31%, revenue downgraded

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%

Recent updates

Empresas Copec S.A.'s (SNSE:COPEC) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

New major risk - Revenue and earnings growth

Is Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) Using Too Much Debt?

Upcoming dividend of US$0.14 per share

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 17%, revenue downgraded

Investors Shouldn't Be Too Comfortable With Empresas Copec's (SNSE:COPEC) Earnings

Returns On Capital At Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) Have Hit The Brakes

Third quarter 2024 earnings released: EPS: US$0.31 (vs US$0.033 loss in 3Q 2023)

Why We're Not Concerned About Empresas Copec S.A.'s (SNSE:COPEC) Share Price

Second quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Does Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) Have A Healthy Balance Sheet?

With Empresas Copec S.A. (SNSE:COPEC) It Looks Like You'll Get What You Pay For

Here's What's Concerning About Empresas Copec's (SNSE:COPEC) Returns On Capital

New major risk - Financial position

First quarter 2024 earnings: EPS exceeds analyst expectations while revenues lag behind

Insufficient new directors

Upcoming dividend of US$0.097 per share

Now 21% undervalued

Is Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC) A Risky Investment?

New minor risk - Share price stability

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 15%

New major risk - Financial position

Full year 2023 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Empresas Copec S.A.'s (SNSE:COPEC) Subdued P/S Might Signal An Opportunity

Empresas Copec S.A. to Report Q2, 2024 Results on Aug 14, 2024

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Upcoming dividend of US$0.039 per share at 6.9% yield

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 20%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 31%, revenue downgraded

New major risk - Financial position

Third quarter 2023 earnings: EPS misses analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 21%

New minor risk - Share price stability

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 58%

Second quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.044 (vs US$0.29 in 2Q 2022)

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 50%

First quarter 2023 earnings released: EPS: US$0.12 (vs US$0.48 in 1Q 2022)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.29 per share at 7.5% yield

Full year 2022 earnings released: EPS: US$1.13 (vs US$1.37 in FY 2021)

Empresas Copec S.A. to Report Q1, 2023 Results on May 12, 2023

Upcoming dividend of CL$0.23 per share

Third quarter 2022 earnings: EPS in line with expectations, revenues disappoint

Consensus forecasts updated

Consensus forecasts updated

Second quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues miss analyst expectations

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 14%

Consensus EPS estimates fall by 31%

Consensus EPS estimates increase by 50%

First quarter 2022 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Upcoming dividend of US$0.17 per share

Now 20% undervalued after recent price drop

Empresas Copec S.A., Annual General Meeting, Apr 27, 2022

Consensus forecasts updated

Full year 2021 earnings: EPS and revenues exceed analyst expectations

Empresas Copec S.A. to Report Q1, 2022 Results on May 13, 2022

Now 21% undervalued

Third quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.56 (vs US$0.075 in 3Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.33 per share

Upcoming dividend of US$0.21 per share

Second quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.26 (vs US$0.024 loss in 2Q 2020)

Consensus forecasts updated

First quarter 2021 earnings released: EPS US$0.18 (vs US$0.005 in 1Q 2020)

Upcoming dividend of US$0.049 per share

Consensus EPS estimates increase to US$0.71

Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts

Analyst Future Growth Forecasts

Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts

Future Return on Equity

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