Netflix Valuation

Is NFLXCL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of NFLXCL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: NFLXCL (CLP631300) is trading above our estimate of fair value (CLP481000.04)

Significantly Below Fair Value: NFLXCL is trading above our estimate of fair value.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for NFLXCL?

Key metric: As NFLXCL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for NFLXCL. This is calculated by dividing NFLXCL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is NFLXCL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio49.3x
EarningsUS$7.78b
Market CapUS$383.77b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does NFLXCL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for NFLXCL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average68.9x
DIS Walt Disney
42.1x19.3%US$207.8b
SPOT Spotify Technology
131.5x29.6%US$95.1b
UMG Universal Music Group
26.7x6.5%€41.3b
FWON.K Formula One Group
75.3x20.0%US$21.0b
NFLXCL Netflix
49.3x15.9%CL$383.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: NFLXCL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the peer average (59.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does NFLXCL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Entertainment Industry?

25 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
NFLXCL 49.3xIndustry Avg. 23.3xNo. of Companies46PE020406080100+
25 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: NFLXCL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (49.3x) compared to the Global Entertainment industry average (23.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is NFLXCL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

NFLXCL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio49.3x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate NFLXCL's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst NFLXCL forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCL$631,300.00
CL$768,164.81
+21.7%
15.8%CL$1,071,400.00CL$535,700.00n/a41
Nov ’25CL$631,300.00
CL$728,124.30
+15.3%
12.2%CL$885,252.75CL$526,366.50n/a41
Oct ’25CL$631,300.00
CL$627,169.33
-0.7%
11.4%CL$808,119.00CL$448,955.00n/a41
Sep ’25CL$636,477.00
CL$634,470.39
-0.3%
11.5%CL$822,510.00CL$456,950.00n/a39
Aug ’25CL$592,700.00
CL$654,008.24
+10.3%
10.6%CL$758,960.00CL$474,350.00n/a39
Jul ’25n/a
CL$614,835.81
0%
11.5%CL$756,744.00CL$416,209.20n/a41
Jun ’25n/a
CL$579,214.11
0%
12.2%CL$720,760.00CL$396,418.00n/a42
May ’25n/a
CL$613,723.78
0%
12.2%CL$766,264.00CL$421,445.20n/a43
Apr ’25n/a
CL$597,385.09
0%
12.9%CL$728,826.00CL$418,582.50n/a41
Mar ’25n/a
CL$562,156.98
0%
12.7%CL$716,549.40CL$324,383.85n/a42
Feb ’25n/a
CL$529,805.16
0%
12.4%CL$652,855.00CL$312,437.75n/a42
Jan ’25n/a
CL$417,241.85
0%
12.4%CL$531,030.00CL$296,491.75n/a39
Dec ’24n/a
CL$399,006.47
0%
12.6%CL$514,368.00CL$287,188.80n/a39
Nov ’24n/a
CL$427,311.53
0%
12.9%CL$559,080.00CL$312,153.00CL$631,300.0039
Oct ’24n/a
CL$420,766.30
0%
14.7%CL$543,240.00CL$294,255.00CL$631,300.0037
Sep ’24n/a
CL$393,495.54
0%
15.3%CL$515,082.00CL$251,531.71CL$636,477.0038
Aug ’24n/a
CL$380,197.55
0%
16.0%CL$494,298.00CL$241,382.19CL$592,700.0036
Jul ’24n/a
CL$321,652.58
0%
18.3%CL$429,861.80CL$184,800.40n/a37
Jun ’24n/a
CL$296,303.14
0%
16.1%CL$377,433.50CL$172,655.75n/a36
May ’24n/a
CL$294,729.34
0%
15.6%CL$357,887.20CL$174,876.70n/a37
Apr ’24n/a
CL$294,501.75
0%
16.3%CL$362,450.00CL$177,106.25n/a37
Mar ’24n/a
CL$286,950.65
0%
16.4%CL$353,557.60CL$172,761.10n/a37
Feb ’24n/a
CL$287,819.19
0%
16.2%CL$355,300.00CL$173,612.50n/a37
Jan ’24n/a
CL$269,756.04
0%
17.9%CL$360,267.75CL$177,910.00n/a36
Dec ’23n/a
CL$265,328.80
0%
18.1%CL$339,198.75CL$146,533.86n/a36
Nov ’23n/a
CL$272,770.01
0%
19.3%CL$356,925.00CL$154,191.60n/a36

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.


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