Stock Analysis

Here's What's Concerning About Empresas Copec's (SNSE:COPEC) Returns On Capital

SNSE:COPEC
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What financial metrics can indicate to us that a company is maturing or even in decline? More often than not, we'll see a declining return on capital employed (ROCE) and a declining amount of capital employed. This combination can tell you that not only is the company investing less, it's earning less on what it does invest. And from a first read, things don't look too good at Empresas Copec (SNSE:COPEC), so let's see why.

Return On Capital Employed (ROCE): What Is It?

For those who don't know, ROCE is a measure of a company's yearly pre-tax profit (its return), relative to the capital employed in the business. To calculate this metric for Empresas Copec, this is the formula:

Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)

0.053 = US$1.2b ÷ (US$28b - US$4.6b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to March 2024).

So, Empresas Copec has an ROCE of 5.3%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Oil and Gas industry average of 9.9%.

View our latest analysis for Empresas Copec

roce
SNSE:COPEC Return on Capital Employed June 20th 2024

Above you can see how the current ROCE for Empresas Copec compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you'd like, you can check out the forecasts from the analysts covering Empresas Copec for free.

How Are Returns Trending?

In terms of Empresas Copec's historical ROCE movements, the trend doesn't inspire confidence. Unfortunately the returns on capital have diminished from the 8.6% that they were earning five years ago. Meanwhile, capital employed in the business has stayed roughly the flat over the period. Companies that exhibit these attributes tend to not be shrinking, but they can be mature and facing pressure on their margins from competition. So because these trends aren't typically conducive to creating a multi-bagger, we wouldn't hold our breath on Empresas Copec becoming one if things continue as they have.

What We Can Learn From Empresas Copec's ROCE

In summary, it's unfortunate that Empresas Copec is generating lower returns from the same amount of capital. Despite the concerning underlying trends, the stock has actually gained 25% over the last five years, so it might be that the investors are expecting the trends to reverse. Either way, we aren't huge fans of the current trends and so with that we think you might find better investments elsewhere.

One more thing: We've identified 3 warning signs with Empresas Copec (at least 1 which is a bit unpleasant) , and understanding these would certainly be useful.

If you want to search for solid companies with great earnings, check out this free list of companies with good balance sheets and impressive returns on equity.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Empresas Copec might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.