Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Schwager Energy (SNSE:SCHWAGER) Is Using Debt Extensively

SNSE:SCHWAGER
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Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We note that Schwager Energy S.A. (SNSE:SCHWAGER) does have debt on its balance sheet. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Debt assists a business until the business has trouble paying it off, either with new capital or with free cash flow. If things get really bad, the lenders can take control of the business. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Having said that, the most common situation is where a company manages its debt reasonably well - and to its own advantage. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Schwager Energy

What Is Schwager Energy's Debt?

As you can see below, Schwager Energy had CL$9.47b of debt at September 2020, down from CL$10.2b a year prior. However, because it has a cash reserve of CL$425.6m, its net debt is less, at about CL$9.04b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SNSE:SCHWAGER Debt to Equity History January 1st 2021

How Strong Is Schwager Energy's Balance Sheet?

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Schwager Energy had liabilities of CL$13.5b due within 12 months and liabilities of CL$13.7b due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CL$425.6m in cash and CL$7.70b in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CL$19.1b.

This deficit casts a shadow over the CL$7.37b company, like a colossus towering over mere mortals. So we'd watch its balance sheet closely, without a doubt. After all, Schwager Energy would likely require a major re-capitalisation if it had to pay its creditors today.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Schwager Energy has a very low debt to EBITDA ratio of 1.3 so it is strange to see weak interest coverage, with last year's EBIT being only 2.2 times the interest expense. So one way or the other, it's clear the debt levels are not trivial. It is well worth noting that Schwager Energy's EBIT shot up like bamboo after rain, gaining 74% in the last twelve months. That'll make it easier to manage its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is Schwager Energy's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So if you're keen to discover more about its earnings, it might be worth checking out this graph of its long term earnings trend.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Schwager Energy burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

To be frank both Schwager Energy's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow and its track record of staying on top of its total liabilities make us rather uncomfortable with its debt levels. But at least it's pretty decent at growing its EBIT; that's encouraging. We're quite clear that we consider Schwager Energy to be really rather risky, as a result of its balance sheet health. For this reason we're pretty cautious about the stock, and we think shareholders should keep a close eye on its liquidity. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. Case in point: We've spotted 3 warning signs for Schwager Energy you should be aware of, and 2 of them can't be ignored.

If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.

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