Stock Analysis

Is LEM Holding (VTX:LEHN) Using Too Much Debt?

SWX:LEHN
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Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of permanent loss is the risk I worry about... and every practical investor I know worries about.' When we think about how risky a company is, we always like to look at its use of debt, since debt overload can lead to ruin. Importantly, LEM Holding SA (VTX:LEHN) does carry debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

Why Does Debt Bring Risk?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first thing to do when considering how much debt a business uses is to look at its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for LEM Holding

How Much Debt Does LEM Holding Carry?

You can click the graphic below for the historical numbers, but it shows that LEM Holding had CHF45.0m of debt in September 2020, down from CHF48.7m, one year before. However, it does have CHF16.4m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CHF28.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:LEHN Debt to Equity History March 20th 2021

How Healthy Is LEM Holding's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, LEM Holding had liabilities of CHF119.7m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CHF19.5m due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CHF16.4m as well as receivables valued at CHF61.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CHF61.5m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given LEM Holding has a market capitalization of CHF2.22b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. Having said that, it's clear that we should continue to monitor its balance sheet, lest it change for the worse. But either way, LEM Holding has virtually no net debt, so it's fair to say it does not have a heavy debt load!

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

LEM Holding's net debt is only 0.44 times its EBITDA. And its EBIT covers its interest expense a whopping 243 times over. So you could argue it is no more threatened by its debt than an elephant is by a mouse. But the other side of the story is that LEM Holding saw its EBIT decline by 9.9% over the last year. That sort of decline, if sustained, will obviously make debt harder to handle. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But it is future earnings, more than anything, that will determine LEM Holding's ability to maintain a healthy balance sheet going forward. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. Over the most recent three years, LEM Holding recorded free cash flow worth 77% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This free cash flow puts the company in a good position to pay down debt, when appropriate.

Our View

The good news is that LEM Holding's demonstrated ability to cover its interest expense with its EBIT delights us like a fluffy puppy does a toddler. But truth be told we feel its EBIT growth rate does undermine this impression a bit. When we consider the range of factors above, it looks like LEM Holding is pretty sensible with its use of debt. While that brings some risk, it can also enhance returns for shareholders. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 2 warning signs for LEM Holding you should know about.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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