Stock Analysis

Is Now The Time To Look At Buying Comet Holding AG (VTX:COTN)?

SWX:COTN
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While Comet Holding AG (VTX:COTN) might not be the most widely known stock at the moment, it received a lot of attention from a substantial price movement on the SWX over the last few months, increasing to CHF183 at one point, and dropping to the lows of CHF140. Some share price movements can give investors a better opportunity to enter into the stock, and potentially buy at a lower price. A question to answer is whether Comet Holding's current trading price of CHF145 reflective of the actual value of the small-cap? Or is it currently undervalued, providing us with the opportunity to buy? Let’s take a look at Comet Holding’s outlook and value based on the most recent financial data to see if there are any catalysts for a price change.

Check out the opportunities and risks within the CH Electronic industry.

Is Comet Holding Still Cheap?

The share price seems sensible at the moment according to my price multiple model, where I compare the company's price-to-earnings ratio to the industry average. In this instance, I’ve used the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio given that there is not enough information to reliably forecast the stock’s cash flows. I find that Comet Holding’s ratio of 17.91x is trading slightly below its industry peers’ ratio of 21.2x, which means if you buy Comet Holding today, you’d be paying a reasonable price for it. And if you believe that Comet Holding should be trading at this level in the long run, then there’s not much of an upside to gain over and above other industry peers. Although, there may be an opportunity to buy in the future. This is because Comet Holding’s beta (a measure of share price volatility) is high, meaning its price movements will be exaggerated relative to the rest of the market. If the market is bearish, the company’s shares will likely fall by more than the rest of the market, providing a prime buying opportunity.

What does the future of Comet Holding look like?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:COTN Earnings and Revenue Growth October 12th 2022

Investors looking for growth in their portfolio may want to consider the prospects of a company before buying its shares. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Comet Holding's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 72%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? It seems like the market has already priced in COTN’s positive outlook, with shares trading around industry price multiples. However, there are also other important factors which we haven’t considered today, such as the track record of its management team. Have these factors changed since the last time you looked at COTN? Will you have enough confidence to invest in the company should the price drop below the industry PE ratio?

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on COTN, now may not be the most advantageous time to buy, given it is trading around industry price multiples. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for COTN, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors such as the strength of its balance sheet, in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

If you'd like to know more about Comet Holding as a business, it's important to be aware of any risks it's facing. In terms of investment risks, we've identified 2 warning signs with Comet Holding, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.