Stock Analysis

Analysts Just Shaved Their Meyer Burger Technology AG (VTX:MBTN) Forecasts Dramatically

Today is shaping up negative for Meyer Burger Technology AG (VTX:MBTN) shareholders, with the analysts delivering a substantial negative revision to this year's forecasts. Revenue and earnings per share (EPS) forecasts were both revised downwards, with analysts seeing grey clouds on the horizon.

Following the downgrade, the current consensus from Meyer Burger Technology's ten analysts is for revenues of CHF289m in 2023 which - if met - would reflect a sizeable 54% increase on its sales over the past 12 months. The loss per share is anticipated to greatly reduce in the near future, narrowing 33% to CHF0.017. However, before this estimates update, the consensus had been expecting revenues of CHF333m and CHF0.015 per share in losses. So there's been quite a change-up of views after the recent consensus updates, with the analysts making a serious cut to their revenue forecasts while also expecting losses per share to increase.

View our latest analysis for Meyer Burger Technology

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:MBTN Earnings and Revenue Growth August 26th 2023

The consensus price target was broadly unchanged at CHF0.69, perhaps implicitly signalling that the weaker earnings outlook is not expected to have a long-term impact on the valuation.

Looking at the bigger picture now, one of the ways we can make sense of these forecasts is to see how they measure up against both past performance and industry growth estimates. For example, we noticed that Meyer Burger Technology's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with revenues forecast to exhibit 138% growth to the end of 2023 on an annualised basis. That is well above its historical decline of 35% a year over the past five years. Compare this against analyst estimates for the broader industry, which suggest that (in aggregate) industry revenues are expected to grow 10% annually. So it looks like Meyer Burger Technology is expected to grow faster than its competitors, at least for a while.

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The Bottom Line

The most important thing to take away is that analysts increased their loss per share estimates for this year. Unfortunately, analysts also downgraded their revenue estimates, although our data indicates revenues are expected to perform better than the wider market. The lack of change in the price target is puzzling in light of the downgrade but, with a serious decline expected this year, we wouldn't be surprised if investors were a bit wary of Meyer Burger Technology.

Still, the long-term prospects of the business are much more relevant than next year's earnings. At Simply Wall St, we have a full range of analyst estimates for Meyer Burger Technology going out to 2025, and you can see them free on our platform here.

Of course, seeing company management invest large sums of money in a stock can be just as useful as knowing whether analysts are downgrading their estimates. So you may also wish to search this free list of stocks that insiders are buying.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About SWX:MBTN

Meyer Burger Technology

A technology company, produces and sells solar cells and modules.

Slight risk and fair value.

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