Stock Analysis

Novavest Real Estate (VTX:NREN) Has A Somewhat Strained Balance Sheet

SWX:NREN
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Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously said that 'Volatility is far from synonymous with risk.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Novavest Real Estate AG (VTX:NREN) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?

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When Is Debt Dangerous?

Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

View our latest analysis for Novavest Real Estate

What Is Novavest Real Estate's Net Debt?

As you can see below, at the end of December 2020, Novavest Real Estate had CHF351.8m of debt, up from CHF305.4m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CHF15.1m in cash, and so its net debt is CHF336.7m.

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SWX:NREN Debt to Equity History March 22nd 2021

A Look At Novavest Real Estate's Liabilities

We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Novavest Real Estate had liabilities of CHF89.5m falling due within a year, and liabilities of CHF285.3m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CHF15.1m in cash and CHF5.09m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CHF354.6m more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.

Given this deficit is actually higher than the company's market capitalization of CHF329.4m, we think shareholders really should watch Novavest Real Estate's debt levels, like a parent watching their child ride a bike for the first time. Hypothetically, extremely heavy dilution would be required if the company were forced to pay down its liabilities by raising capital at the current share price.

We measure a company's debt load relative to its earnings power by looking at its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and by calculating how easily its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) cover its interest expense (interest cover). Thus we consider debt relative to earnings both with and without depreciation and amortization expenses.

With a net debt to EBITDA ratio of 21.1, it's fair to say Novavest Real Estate does have a significant amount of debt. However, its interest coverage of 5.5 is reasonably strong, which is a good sign. Novavest Real Estate grew its EBIT by 4.2% in the last year. That's far from incredible but it is a good thing, when it comes to paying off debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But it is Novavest Real Estate's earnings that will influence how the balance sheet holds up in the future. So when considering debt, it's definitely worth looking at the earnings trend. Click here for an interactive snapshot.

Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So we clearly need to look at whether that EBIT is leading to corresponding free cash flow. Over the last three years, Novavest Real Estate recorded free cash flow worth a fulsome 86% of its EBIT, which is stronger than we'd usually expect. That puts it in a very strong position to pay down debt.

Our View

Novavest Real Estate's net debt to EBITDA and level of total liabilities definitely weigh on it, in our esteem. But its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow tells a very different story, and suggests some resilience. When we consider all the factors discussed, it seems to us that Novavest Real Estate is taking some risks with its use of debt. So while that leverage does boost returns on equity, we wouldn't really want to see it increase from here. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. We've identified 4 warning signs with Novavest Real Estate (at least 1 which can't be ignored) , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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