With a price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 70.6x Lonza Group AG (VTX:LONN) may be sending very bearish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all companies in Switzerland have P/E ratios under 22x and even P/E's lower than 13x are not unusual. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Recent times haven't been advantageous for Lonza Group as its earnings have been falling quicker than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/E is high because investors think the company will turn things around completely and accelerate past most others in the market. You'd really hope so, otherwise you're paying a pretty hefty price for no particular reason.
View our latest analysis for Lonza Group
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There's an inherent assumption that a company should far outperform the market for P/E ratios like Lonza Group's to be considered reasonable.
If we review the last year of earnings, dishearteningly the company's profits fell to the tune of 48%. This has soured the latest three-year period, which nevertheless managed to deliver a decent 7.4% overall rise in EPS. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been mostly respectable for the company.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 39% each year over the next three years. With the market only predicted to deliver 14% per year, the company is positioned for a stronger earnings result.
In light of this, it's understandable that Lonza Group's P/E sits above the majority of other companies. Apparently shareholders aren't keen to offload something that is potentially eyeing a more prosperous future.
What We Can Learn From Lonza Group's P/E?
Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
As we suspected, our examination of Lonza Group's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. It's hard to see the share price falling strongly in the near future under these circumstances.
Before you take the next step, you should know about the 2 warning signs for Lonza Group that we have uncovered.
If P/E ratios interest you, you may wish to see this free collection of other companies with strong earnings growth and low P/E ratios.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:LONN
Lonza Group
Supplies various products and services for pharmaceutical, biotech, and nutrition markets in Europe, North and Central America, Latin America, Asia, Australia, New Zealand, and internationally.
Excellent balance sheet with reasonable growth potential.