Stock Analysis

If You Had Bought Basilea Pharmaceutica's (VTX:BSLN) Shares Three Years Ago You Would Be Down 19%

SWX:BSLN
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For many investors, the main point of stock picking is to generate higher returns than the overall market. But its virtually certain that sometimes you will buy stocks that fall short of the market average returns. We regret to report that long term Basilea Pharmaceutica AG (VTX:BSLN) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 19% in three years, versus a market return of about 26%. Unhappily, the share price slid 1.4% in the last week.

View our latest analysis for Basilea Pharmaceutica

Given that Basilea Pharmaceutica only made minimal earnings in the last twelve months, we'll focus on revenue to gauge its business development. Generally speaking, we'd consider a stock like this alongside loss-making companies, simply because the quantum of the profit is so low. For shareholders to have confidence a company will grow profits significantly, it must grow revenue.

Over three years, Basilea Pharmaceutica grew revenue at 15% per year. That's a pretty good rate of top-line growth. Shareholders have seen the share price fall at 6% per year, for three years. This implies the market had higher expectations of Basilea Pharmaceutica. However, that's in the past now, and it's the future is more important - and the future looks brighter (based on revenue, anyway).

The company's revenue and earnings (over time) are depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:BSLN Earnings and Revenue Growth February 18th 2021

It is of course excellent to see how Basilea Pharmaceutica has grown profits over the years, but the future is more important for shareholders. It might be well worthwhile taking a look at our free report on how its financial position has changed over time.

A Different Perspective

While the broader market gained around 0.2% in the last year, Basilea Pharmaceutica shareholders lost 1.0%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, longer term shareholders are suffering worse, given the loss of 3% doled out over the last five years. We'd need to see some sustained improvements in the key metrics before we could muster much enthusiasm. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Take risks, for example - Basilea Pharmaceutica has 3 warning signs (and 2 which make us uncomfortable) we think you should know about.

For those who like to find winning investments this free list of growing companies with recent insider purchasing, could be just the ticket.

Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on CH exchanges.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
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