Moderna Valuation

Is 0QF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of 0QF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: 0QF (CHF184.33) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF460.31)

Significantly Below Fair Value: 0QF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for 0QF?

Key metric: As 0QF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for 0QF. This is calculated by dividing 0QF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is 0QF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio6.4x
EarningsUS$8.36b
Market CapUS$53.43b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does 0QF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for 0QF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26x
SANN Santhera Pharmaceuticals Holding
1.5x35.4%CHF 96.8m
LONN Lonza Group
65.7x23.9%CHF 37.7b
NOVN Novartis
17.8x7.0%CHF 187.3b
ROG Roche Holding
19.1x11.1%CHF 204.3b
0QF Moderna
6.4x-15.5%CHF 53.4b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: 0QF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the peer average (1.6x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does 0QF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Biotechs Industry?

5 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
0QF 6.4xIndustry Avg. 27.0xNo. of Companies5PE020406080100+
5 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: 0QF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (6.4x) compared to the European Biotechs industry average (40x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is 0QF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

0QF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio6.4x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate 0QF's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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