Stock Analysis

We Think Ypsomed Holding (VTX:YPSN) Can Stay On Top Of Its Debt

SWX:YPSN
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The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it seems the smart money knows that debt - which is usually involved in bankruptcies - is a very important factor, when you assess how risky a company is. As with many other companies Ypsomed Holding AG (VTX:YPSN) makes use of debt. But the more important question is: how much risk is that debt creating?

When Is Debt A Problem?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. Ultimately, if the company can't fulfill its legal obligations to repay debt, shareholders could walk away with nothing. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.

See our latest analysis for Ypsomed Holding

How Much Debt Does Ypsomed Holding Carry?

As you can see below, at the end of September 2023, Ypsomed Holding had CHF203.0m of debt, up from CHF169.0m a year ago. Click the image for more detail. However, it also had CHF36.4m in cash, and so its net debt is CHF166.6m.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:YPSN Debt to Equity History January 23rd 2024

A Look At Ypsomed Holding's Liabilities

Zooming in on the latest balance sheet data, we can see that Ypsomed Holding had liabilities of CHF322.3m due within 12 months and liabilities of CHF40.7m due beyond that. Offsetting this, it had CHF36.4m in cash and CHF95.8m in receivables that were due within 12 months. So its liabilities outweigh the sum of its cash and (near-term) receivables by CHF230.9m.

Since publicly traded Ypsomed Holding shares are worth a total of CHF4.16b, it seems unlikely that this level of liabilities would be a major threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

We use two main ratios to inform us about debt levels relative to earnings. The first is net debt divided by earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA), while the second is how many times its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) covers its interest expense (or its interest cover, for short). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).

Ypsomed Holding's net debt to EBITDA ratio of about 1.6 suggests only moderate use of debt. And its strong interest cover of 19.2 times, makes us even more comfortable. On top of that, Ypsomed Holding grew its EBIT by 70% over the last twelve months, and that growth will make it easier to handle its debt. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Ypsomed Holding can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.

Finally, while the tax-man may adore accounting profits, lenders only accept cold hard cash. So we always check how much of that EBIT is translated into free cash flow. During the last three years, Ypsomed Holding burned a lot of cash. While investors are no doubt expecting a reversal of that situation in due course, it clearly does mean its use of debt is more risky.

Our View

Happily, Ypsomed Holding's impressive interest cover implies it has the upper hand on its debt. But the stark truth is that we are concerned by its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow. We would also note that Medical Equipment industry companies like Ypsomed Holding commonly do use debt without problems. All these things considered, it appears that Ypsomed Holding can comfortably handle its current debt levels. Of course, while this leverage can enhance returns on equity, it does bring more risk, so it's worth keeping an eye on this one. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. Case in point: We've spotted 1 warning sign for Ypsomed Holding you should be aware of.

Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether Ypsomed Holding is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.