Stock Analysis

These 4 Measures Indicate That Alcon (VTX:ALC) Is Using Debt Reasonably Well

SWX:ALC
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David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We note that Alcon Inc. (VTX:ALC) does have debt on its balance sheet. But is this debt a concern to shareholders?

What Risk Does Debt Bring?

Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more common (but still painful) scenario is that it has to raise new equity capital at a low price, thus permanently diluting shareholders. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.

View our latest analysis for Alcon

What Is Alcon's Debt?

The chart below, which you can click on for greater detail, shows that Alcon had US$4.06b in debt in March 2022; about the same as the year before. However, it does have US$961.0m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about US$3.10b.

debt-equity-history-analysis
SWX:ALC Debt to Equity History June 10th 2022

How Healthy Is Alcon's Balance Sheet?

According to the last reported balance sheet, Alcon had liabilities of US$2.25b due within 12 months, and liabilities of US$6.06b due beyond 12 months. On the other hand, it had cash of US$961.0m and US$1.87b worth of receivables due within a year. So it has liabilities totalling US$5.47b more than its cash and near-term receivables, combined.

Given Alcon has a humongous market capitalization of US$36.2b, it's hard to believe these liabilities pose much threat. But there are sufficient liabilities that we would certainly recommend shareholders continue to monitor the balance sheet, going forward.

In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). This way, we consider both the absolute quantum of the debt, as well as the interest rates paid on it.

Alcon has net debt of just 1.5 times EBITDA, indicating that it is certainly not a reckless borrower. And this view is supported by the solid interest coverage, with EBIT coming in at 8.4 times the interest expense over the last year. It was also good to see that despite losing money on the EBIT line last year, Alcon turned things around in the last 12 months, delivering and EBIT of US$967m. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Alcon can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you want to see what the professionals think, you might find this free report on analyst profit forecasts to be interesting.

Finally, a company can only pay off debt with cold hard cash, not accounting profits. So it's worth checking how much of the earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) is backed by free cash flow. In the last year, Alcon created free cash flow amounting to 6.9% of its EBIT, an uninspiring performance. That limp level of cash conversion undermines its ability to manage and pay down debt.

Our View

Alcon's conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was a real negative on this analysis, although the other factors we considered were considerably better. There's no doubt that it has an adequate capacity to cover its interest expense with its EBIT. It's also worth noting that Alcon is in the Medical Equipment industry, which is often considered to be quite defensive. When we consider all the factors mentioned above, we do feel a bit cautious about Alcon's use of debt. While we appreciate debt can enhance returns on equity, we'd suggest that shareholders keep close watch on its debt levels, lest they increase. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. These risks can be hard to spot. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Alcon you should know about.

When all is said and done, sometimes its easier to focus on companies that don't even need debt. Readers can access a list of growth stocks with zero net debt 100% free, right now.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.