Südzucker AG

SWX:SZU Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 2.6b

Südzucker Valuation

Is SZU undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SZU when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SZU (CHF14.44) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF23.44)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SZU is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SZU?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

SZU key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue0.5x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA4.6x
PEG Ratio-0.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SZU's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SZU vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average22.9x
ARYN ARYZTA
25.7x18.8%CHF 1.7b
BELL Bell Food Group
12.4x-0.2%CHF 1.6b
EMMN Emmi
26.5x13.3%CHF 4.9b
BARN Barry Callebaut
26.9x25.2%CHF 7.7b
SZU Südzucker
5.8x-22.7%CHF 2.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SZU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the peer average (22.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SZU's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SZU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the European Food industry average (15.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SZU's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SZU PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio5.8x
Fair PE Ratio7.9x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SZU is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (5.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (7.9x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SZU forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 14.44
CHF 12.56
-13.0%
1.7%CHF 12.68CHF 12.19n/a4
Jul ’25CHF 14.44
CHF 12.77
-11.6%
4.6%CHF 13.67CHF 12.01n/a4
Jun ’25CHF 14.44
CHF 12.64
-12.5%
7.9%CHF 13.83CHF 11.06n/a4
May ’25CHF 14.44
CHF 11.92
-17.4%
10.2%CHF 13.57CHF 10.66n/a4
Apr ’25CHF 14.44
CHF 12.51
-13.4%
18.5%CHF 16.30CHF 10.54n/a4
Mar ’25CHF 14.44
CHF 12.86
-10.9%
17.7%CHF 15.92CHF 10.49n/a3
Feb ’25CHF 14.44
CHF 12.86
-10.9%
17.7%CHF 15.92CHF 10.49n/a3
Jan ’25CHF 14.44
CHF 14.34
-0.7%
15.8%CHF 16.07CHF 11.15n/a3
Dec ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 14.98
+3.8%
12.5%CHF 16.34CHF 11.34n/a5
Nov ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 14.98
+3.8%
12.5%CHF 16.34CHF 11.34n/a5
Oct ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 15.88
+10.0%
5.1%CHF 16.61CHF 14.49n/a5
Sep ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 17.34
+20.1%
13.9%CHF 21.43CHF 14.61n/a5
Aug ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 17.34
+20.1%
13.9%CHF 21.43CHF 14.61n/a5
Jul ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 16.99
+17.7%
12.8%CHF 20.87CHF 14.56CHF 14.445
Jun ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 16.99
+17.7%
12.8%CHF 20.87CHF 14.56CHF 14.445
May ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 17.68
+22.4%
14.0%CHF 21.54CHF 14.75CHF 14.444
Apr ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 16.20
+12.2%
9.2%CHF 18.38CHF 14.82CHF 14.444
Mar ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 16.03
+11.0%
8.6%CHF 18.38CHF 14.82CHF 14.445
Feb ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 16.14
+11.8%
7.5%CHF 18.04CHF 15.03CHF 14.445
Jan ’24CHF 14.44
CHF 14.73
+2.0%
10.1%CHF 17.26CHF 12.33CHF 14.446
Dec ’23CHF 14.44
CHF 13.78
-4.5%
6.5%CHF 15.32CHF 12.35CHF 14.446
Nov ’23CHF 14.44
CHF 13.20
-8.6%
6.3%CHF 14.83CHF 12.36CHF 14.446
Oct ’23CHF 14.44
CHF 13.40
-7.2%
10.3%CHF 15.22CHF 11.42CHF 14.446
Sep ’23CHF 14.44
CHF 13.71
-5.0%
10.3%CHF 15.47CHF 11.60CHF 14.446
Aug ’23CHF 14.44
CHF 13.49
-6.6%
11.1%CHF 15.57CHF 11.68CHF 14.446
Jul ’23CHF 14.44
CHF 13.75
-4.8%
12.5%CHF 16.31CHF 11.21CHF 14.446

Analyst Forecast: Target price is lower than the current share price.

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