Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli Valuation

Q: What is the Fair Price of LISPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

LISPE (CHF10090) is trading below our estimate of [[fair value]] (CHF12091.73)

Is LISPE undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

1/6

Valuation Score 1/6

Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of LISPE when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: LISPE (CHF10090) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF12091.73)

Significantly Below Fair Value: LISPE is trading below fair value, but not by a significant amount.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for LISPE?

Key metric: As LISPE is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for LISPE. This is calculated by dividing LISPE's market cap by their current earnings.
What is LISPE's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio	33.8x
Earnings	CHF 684.90m
Market Cap	CHF 23.22b

LISPE key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue	4.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA	23.5x
PEG Ratio	5.3x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does LISPE's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for LISPE vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
Company	Forward PE	Estimated Growth	Market Cap
Peer Average	22.7x
BARN Barry Callebaut	38.4x	24.1%	CHF 7.3b
EMMN Emmi	21.8x	13.0%	CHF 4.2b
NESN Nestlé	17.5x	5.0%	CHF 196.3b
BELL Bell Food Group	13.3x	-0.7%	CHF 1.7b
LISPE Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli	33.8x	6.4%	CHF 23.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: LISPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the peer average (22.7x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does LISPE's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

3 Companies	Price / Earnings	Estimated Growth	Market Cap

3 Companies		Estimated Growth	Market Cap

No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: LISPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the European Food industry average (13.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is LISPE's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

LISPE PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio	33.8x
Fair PE Ratio	21.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: LISPE is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (33.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.

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