When close to half the companies in Switzerland have price-to-earnings ratios (or "P/E's") below 21x, you may consider Barry Callebaut AG (VTX:BARN) as a stock to avoid entirely with its 40.7x P/E ratio. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/E at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so lofty.
Barry Callebaut could be doing better as its earnings have been going backwards lately while most other companies have been seeing positive earnings growth. It might be that many expect the dour earnings performance to recover substantially, which has kept the P/E from collapsing. If not, then existing shareholders may be extremely nervous about the viability of the share price.
View our latest analysis for Barry Callebaut
How Is Barry Callebaut's Growth Trending?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/E as steep as Barry Callebaut's is when the company's growth is on track to outshine the market decidedly.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 50% decrease to the company's bottom line. As a result, earnings from three years ago have also fallen 64% overall. So unfortunately, we have to acknowledge that the company has not done a great job of growing earnings over that time.
Shifting to the future, estimates from the twelve analysts covering the company suggest earnings should grow by 53% each year over the next three years. Meanwhile, the rest of the market is forecast to only expand by 11% per year, which is noticeably less attractive.
With this information, we can see why Barry Callebaut is trading at such a high P/E compared to the market. It seems most investors are expecting this strong future growth and are willing to pay more for the stock.
The Bottom Line On Barry Callebaut's P/E
Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-earnings ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.
As we suspected, our examination of Barry Callebaut's analyst forecasts revealed that its superior earnings outlook is contributing to its high P/E. Right now shareholders are comfortable with the P/E as they are quite confident future earnings aren't under threat. Unless these conditions change, they will continue to provide strong support to the share price.
Don't forget that there may be other risks. For instance, we've identified 5 warning signs for Barry Callebaut (3 shouldn't be ignored) you should be aware of.
Of course, you might also be able to find a better stock than Barry Callebaut. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Barry Callebaut might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:BARN
Barry Callebaut
Engages in the manufacture and sale of chocolate and cocoa products.
Moderate risk and fair value.
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