Heineken Valuation
Is HEI undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?
Valuation Score
2/6Valuation Score 2/6
Below Fair Value
Significantly Below Fair Value
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio
Analyst Forecast
Share Price vs Fair Value
What is the Fair Price of HEI when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.
Below Fair Value: HEI (CHF104.75) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF323.18)
Significantly Below Fair Value: HEI is trading below fair value by more than 20%.
Key Valuation Metric
Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for HEI?
Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.
What is HEI's n/a Ratio? | |
---|---|
n/a | 0x |
n/a | n/a |
Market Cap | €45.64b |
Key Statistics | |
---|---|
Enterprise Value/Revenue | 2.1x |
Enterprise Value/EBITDA | 11x |
PEG Ratio | 1.7x |
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers
How does HEI's PE Ratio compare to its peers?
Company | Forward PE | Estimated Growth | Market Cap |
---|---|---|---|
Peer Average | 24.7x | ||
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli | 37.4x | 6.4% | CHF 25.8b |
BARN Barry Callebaut | 26.3x | 25.0% | CHF 7.5b |
NESN Nestlé | 20.9x | 6.5% | CHF 234.0b |
ABEV3 Ambev | 14x | 8.0% | R$202.1b |
HEI Heineken | 43.3x | 25.5% | CHF 45.6b |
Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: HEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.3x) compared to the peer average (24.7x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry
How does HEI's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Beverage Industry?
Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: HEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.3x) compared to the European Beverage industry average (19.8x).
Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio
What is HEI's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.
Fair Ratio | |
---|---|
Current PE Ratio | 43.3x |
Fair PE Ratio | 37.1x |
Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: HEI is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (43.3x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (37.1x).
Analyst Price Targets
What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?
Date | Share Price | Average 1Y Price Target | Dispersion | High | Low | 1Y Actual price | Analysts |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Current | CHF 104.75 | CHF 91.59 -12.6% | 12.6% | CHF 121.42 | CHF 65.45 | n/a | 21 |
Aug ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 92.80 -11.4% | 13.3% | CHF 128.30 | CHF 66.09 | n/a | 21 |
Jul ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 96.09 -8.3% | 13.6% | CHF 129.38 | CHF 66.64 | n/a | 21 |
Jun ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 98.48 -6.0% | 13.5% | CHF 132.67 | CHF 68.34 | n/a | 21 |
May ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 98.48 -6.0% | 13.5% | CHF 132.67 | CHF 68.34 | n/a | 21 |
Apr ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 95.87 -8.5% | 12.7% | CHF 119.66 | CHF 67.65 | n/a | 21 |
Mar ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 93.92 -10.3% | 13.5% | CHF 117.19 | CHF 66.26 | n/a | 22 |
Feb ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 95.45 -8.9% | 12.7% | CHF 114.81 | CHF 64.91 | n/a | 22 |
Jan ’25 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 96.35 -8.0% | 12.3% | CHF 112.68 | CHF 65.85 | n/a | 22 |
Dec ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 97.25 -7.2% | 13.5% | CHF 128.19 | CHF 66.03 | n/a | 23 |
Nov ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 97.25 -7.2% | 13.5% | CHF 128.19 | CHF 66.03 | n/a | 23 |
Oct ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 102.44 -2.2% | 13.7% | CHF 130.65 | CHF 67.30 | n/a | 24 |
Sep ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 103.50 -1.2% | 13.6% | CHF 129.54 | CHF 66.73 | CHF 104.75 | 25 |
Aug ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 104.11 -0.6% | 14.1% | CHF 129.77 | CHF 66.85 | CHF 104.75 | 25 |
Jul ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 107.94 +3.0% | 15.8% | CHF 141.79 | CHF 68.00 | CHF 104.75 | 22 |
Jun ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 108.57 +3.6% | 16.2% | CHF 141.16 | CHF 67.70 | CHF 104.75 | 22 |
May ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 107.52 +2.6% | 16.5% | CHF 142.92 | CHF 68.54 | CHF 104.75 | 22 |
Apr ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 105.27 +0.5% | 14.4% | CHF 129.00 | CHF 69.00 | CHF 104.75 | 21 |
Mar ’24 | CHF 99.00 | CHF 104.79 +5.8% | 14.1% | CHF 129.53 | CHF 69.29 | CHF 104.75 | 23 |
Feb ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 102.22 -2.4% | 13.4% | CHF 126.99 | CHF 68.99 | CHF 104.75 | 23 |
Jan ’24 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 99.47 -5.0% | 13.4% | CHF 118.91 | CHF 68.91 | CHF 104.75 | 23 |
Dec ’23 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 98.24 -6.2% | 12.9% | CHF 118.10 | CHF 68.44 | CHF 104.75 | 23 |
Nov ’23 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 100.18 -4.4% | 13.0% | CHF 119.03 | CHF 68.98 | CHF 104.75 | 24 |
Oct ’23 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 103.05 -1.6% | 12.6% | CHF 120.64 | CHF 67.11 | CHF 104.75 | 25 |
Sep ’23 | CHF 104.75 | CHF 102.40 -2.2% | 12.6% | CHF 120.10 | CHF 66.81 | CHF 104.75 | 25 |
Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.