Danone S.A.

BRSE:DAN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 36.8b

Danone Valuation

Is DAN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DAN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: DAN (CHF57.39) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF108.69)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DAN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DAN?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

DAN key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.8x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA10.2x
PEG Ratio2.2x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DAN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DAN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.9x
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
36.7x6.4%CHF 25.2b
BARN Barry Callebaut
26x25.0%CHF 7.4b
NESN Nestlé
20.5x6.5%CHF 230.0b
EMMN Emmi
24.3x15.3%CHF 4.7b
DAN Danone
38.7x17.4%CHF 38.8b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.7x) compared to the peer average (26.9x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DAN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
 n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a7.2%
 n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (38.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (15x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DAN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DAN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio38.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DAN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DAN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 57.39
CHF 60.21
+4.9%
9.2%CHF 67.77CHF 51.77n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 60.03
0%
9.2%CHF 67.88CHF 51.85n/a22
Jul ’25CHF 54.88
CHF 61.01
+11.2%
9.3%CHF 69.29CHF 51.00n/a22
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 62.85
0%
9.5%CHF 71.32CHF 52.50n/a22
May ’25CHF 57.28
CHF 61.39
+7.2%
10.2%CHF 69.92CHF 48.56n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 61.41
0%
10.6%CHF 70.17CHF 48.73n/a22
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 59.58
0%
11.1%CHF 68.55CHF 46.65n/a23
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 58.45
0%
11.4%CHF 68.08CHF 46.33n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 55.81
0%
12.6%CHF 65.95CHF 44.75n/a22
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 56.81
0%
12.4%CHF 67.49CHF 45.80n/a22
Nov ’24CHF 55.04
CHF 56.61
+2.9%
12.2%CHF 67.15CHF 45.57n/a22
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 56.91
0%
13.1%CHF 67.74CHF 41.61n/a22
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 56.75
0%
13.3%CHF 67.97CHF 41.16n/a24
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 57.58
0%
12.3%CHF 68.05CHF 41.21n/a23
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 58.98
0%
12.4%CHF 68.55CHF 42.11CHF 54.8822
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 58.16
0%
13.1%CHF 68.12CHF 41.84n/a22
May ’24n/a
CHF 58.33
0%
13.1%CHF 69.00CHF 42.38CHF 57.2822
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 57.45
0%
14.1%CHF 69.81CHF 42.88n/a22
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 56.85
0%
13.9%CHF 69.75CHF 42.85n/a23
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 55.03
0%
15.1%CHF 69.45CHF 40.68n/a22
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 56.23
0%
14.3%CHF 69.03CHF 40.43n/a22
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 56.37
0%
12.2%CHF 69.04CHF 40.44n/a23
Nov ’23CHF 47.92
CHF 56.75
+18.4%
12.4%CHF 69.25CHF 40.56CHF 55.0424
Oct ’23n/a
CHF 56.29
0%
10.4%CHF 67.68CHF 43.37n/a24
Sep ’23n/a
CHF 57.34
0%
10.8%CHF 69.37CHF 43.83n/a24
Aug ’23n/a
CHF 57.14
0%
11.1%CHF 69.04CHF 43.62n/a24

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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