Danone S.A.

BRSE:DAN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 40.5b

Danone Valuation

Is DAN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of DAN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Discounted Cash Flow
Simply Wall St
CHF 99.34
Fair Value
36.6% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Below Fair Value: DAN (CHF63.01) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF99.34)

Significantly Below Fair Value: DAN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for DAN?

Key metric: As DAN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for DAN. This is calculated by dividing DAN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is DAN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio42.7x
Earnings€1.00b
Market Cap€42.87b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does DAN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for DAN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average26.3x
LISN Chocoladefabriken Lindt & Sprüngli
34.4x7.1%CHF 23.7b
NESN Nestlé
18.1x4.9%CHF 202.6b
BARN Barry Callebaut
30.3x22.7%CHF 5.8b
EMMN Emmi
22.4x9.5%CHF 4.3b
DAN Danone
42.7x18.3%CHF 42.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: DAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.7x) compared to the peer average (26.1x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does DAN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Food Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
DAN 42.7xIndustry Avg. 14.3xNo. of Companies20PE01020304050+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: DAN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (42.7x) compared to the European Food industry average (14.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is DAN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

DAN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio42.7x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate DAN's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst DAN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 63.01
CHF 64.42
+2.2%
8.2%CHF 75.61CHF 52.93n/a22
Feb ’26n/a
CHF 64.42
0%
8.2%CHF 75.61CHF 52.93n/a22
Jan ’26n/a
CHF 63.20
0%
9.1%CHF 74.91CHF 51.50n/a23
Dec ’25CHF 60.00
CHF 62.50
+4.2%
9.4%CHF 74.55CHF 51.25n/a22
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 62.32
0%
8.5%CHF 70.16CHF 51.45n/a22
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 60.49
0%
9.6%CHF 67.85CHF 51.83n/a22
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 59.57
0%
9.2%CHF 67.05CHF 51.22n/a22
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 60.03
0%
9.2%CHF 67.88CHF 51.85n/a22
Jul ’25CHF 54.88
CHF 61.01
+11.2%
9.3%CHF 69.29CHF 51.00n/a22
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 62.85
0%
9.5%CHF 71.32CHF 52.50n/a22
May ’25CHF 57.28
CHF 61.39
+7.2%
10.2%CHF 69.92CHF 48.56n/a22
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 61.41
0%
10.6%CHF 70.17CHF 48.73n/a22
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 59.58
0%
11.1%CHF 68.55CHF 46.65n/a23
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 58.45
0%
11.4%CHF 68.08CHF 46.33n/a23
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 55.81
0%
12.6%CHF 65.95CHF 44.75n/a22
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 56.81
0%
12.4%CHF 67.49CHF 45.80CHF 60.0022
Nov ’24CHF 55.04
CHF 56.61
+2.9%
12.2%CHF 67.15CHF 45.57n/a22
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 56.91
0%
13.1%CHF 67.74CHF 41.61n/a22
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 56.75
0%
13.3%CHF 67.97CHF 41.16n/a24
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 57.58
0%
12.3%CHF 68.05CHF 41.21n/a23
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 58.98
0%
12.4%CHF 68.55CHF 42.11CHF 54.8822
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 58.16
0%
13.1%CHF 68.12CHF 41.84n/a22
May ’24n/a
CHF 58.33
0%
13.1%CHF 69.00CHF 42.38CHF 57.2822
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 57.45
0%
14.1%CHF 69.81CHF 42.88n/a22
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 56.85
0%
13.9%CHF 69.75CHF 42.85n/a23
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 55.03
0%
15.1%CHF 69.45CHF 40.68n/a22
Analyst Price Target
Consensus Narrative from 22 Analysts
CHF 64.48
Fair Value
2.3% undervalued intrinsic discount
22
Number of Analysts

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2025/02/11 19:26
End of Day Share Price 2025/02/11 00:00
Earnings2024/06/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Danone S.A. is covered by 61 analysts. 19 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Volker BosseBaader Helvea Equity Research
Arancha PiñeiroBanco de Sabadell. S.A.
Pedro Gil Garcia AlejoBanco Santander