PayPal Holdings Valuation

Is PYPL undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of PYPL when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: PYPL (CHF182.69) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF261.54)

Significantly Below Fair Value: PYPL is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for PYPL?

Key metric: As PYPL is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for PYPL. This is calculated by dividing PYPL's market cap by their current earnings.
What is PYPL's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio18.8x
EarningsUS$4.43b
Market CapUS$83.22b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does PYPL's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for PYPL vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average31.3x
UBSG UBS Group
22.4x25.6%CHF 89.7b
PGHN Partners Group Holding
33.2x14.2%CHF 31.9b
FI Fiserv
40.5x18.7%US$122.4b
BAER Julius Bär Gruppe
29.1x22.4%CHF 10.9b
PYPL PayPal Holdings
18.8x6.0%CHF 83.2b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: PYPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x) compared to the peer average (31.4x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does PYPL's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Diversified Financial Industry?

7 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
PYPL 18.8xIndustry Avg. 10.5xNo. of Companies14PE01020304050+
7 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: PYPL is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x) compared to the European Diversified Financial industry average (10.9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is PYPL's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

PYPL PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio18.8x
Fair PE Ratio25.2x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: PYPL is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (18.8x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.2x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

Analyst Forecast: Insufficient data to show price forecast.


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