David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the permanent loss of capital.' It's only natural to consider a company's balance sheet when you examine how risky it is, since debt is often involved when a business collapses. We can see that The Swatch Group AG (VTX:UHR) does use debt in its business. But the real question is whether this debt is making the company risky.
When Is Debt A Problem?
Generally speaking, debt only becomes a real problem when a company can't easily pay it off, either by raising capital or with its own cash flow. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more usual (but still expensive) situation is where a company must dilute shareholders at a cheap share price simply to get debt under control. Of course, plenty of companies use debt to fund growth, without any negative consequences. The first step when considering a company's debt levels is to consider its cash and debt together.
Check out our latest analysis for Swatch Group
What Is Swatch Group's Net Debt?
As you can see below, Swatch Group had CHF27.0m of debt at June 2023, down from CHF68.0m a year prior. But on the other hand it also has CHF2.12b in cash, leading to a CHF2.10b net cash position.
A Look At Swatch Group's Liabilities
We can see from the most recent balance sheet that Swatch Group had liabilities of CHF1.23b falling due within a year, and liabilities of CHF739.0m due beyond that. On the other hand, it had cash of CHF2.12b and CHF838.0m worth of receivables due within a year. So it can boast CHF996.0m more liquid assets than total liabilities.
This short term liquidity is a sign that Swatch Group could probably pay off its debt with ease, as its balance sheet is far from stretched. Simply put, the fact that Swatch Group has more cash than debt is arguably a good indication that it can manage its debt safely.
And we also note warmly that Swatch Group grew its EBIT by 19% last year, making its debt load easier to handle. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Swatch Group can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
But our final consideration is also important, because a company cannot pay debt with paper profits; it needs cold hard cash. Swatch Group may have net cash on the balance sheet, but it is still interesting to look at how well the business converts its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) to free cash flow, because that will influence both its need for, and its capacity to manage debt. Over the most recent three years, Swatch Group recorded free cash flow worth 60% of its EBIT, which is around normal, given free cash flow excludes interest and tax. This cold hard cash means it can reduce its debt when it wants to.
Summing Up
While it is always sensible to investigate a company's debt, in this case Swatch Group has CHF2.10b in net cash and a decent-looking balance sheet. And we liked the look of last year's 19% year-on-year EBIT growth. So we don't think Swatch Group's use of debt is risky. When analysing debt levels, the balance sheet is the obvious place to start. But ultimately, every company can contain risks that exist outside of the balance sheet. To that end, you should be aware of the 1 warning sign we've spotted with Swatch Group .
If, after all that, you're more interested in a fast growing company with a rock-solid balance sheet, then check out our list of net cash growth stocks without delay.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:UHR
Swatch Group
Designs, manufactures, and sells finished watches, jewelry, and watch movements and components worldwide.
Flawless balance sheet and good value.