Stock Analysis

At CHF133, Is It Time To Put Compagnie Financière Richemont SA (VTX:CFR) On Your Watch List?

SWX:CFR
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Compagnie Financière Richemont SA (VTX:CFR) saw a double-digit share price rise of over 10% in the past couple of months on the SWX. With many analysts covering the large-cap stock, we may expect any price-sensitive announcements have already been factored into the stock’s share price. However, what if the stock is still a bargain? Let’s examine Compagnie Financière Richemont’s valuation and outlook in more detail to determine if there’s still a bargain opportunity.

See our latest analysis for Compagnie Financière Richemont

Is Compagnie Financière Richemont Still Cheap?

According to my valuation model, the stock is currently overvalued by about 21%, trading at CHF133 compared to my intrinsic value of CHF110.01. This means that the opportunity to buy Compagnie Financière Richemont at a good price has disappeared! If you like the stock, you may want to keep an eye out for a potential price decline in the future. Since Compagnie Financière Richemont’s share price is quite volatile, this could mean it can sink lower (or rise even further) in the future, giving us another chance to invest. This is based on its high beta, which is a good indicator for how much the stock moves relative to the rest of the market.

Can we expect growth from Compagnie Financière Richemont?

earnings-and-revenue-growth
SWX:CFR Earnings and Revenue Growth March 20th 2023

Future outlook is an important aspect when you’re looking at buying a stock, especially if you are an investor looking for growth in your portfolio. Buying a great company with a robust outlook at a cheap price is always a good investment, so let’s also take a look at the company's future expectations. Compagnie Financière Richemont's earnings over the next few years are expected to increase by 76%, indicating a highly optimistic future ahead. This should lead to more robust cash flows, feeding into a higher share value.

What This Means For You

Are you a shareholder? CFR’s optimistic future growth appears to have been factored into the current share price, with shares trading above its fair value. At this current price, shareholders may be asking a different question – should I sell? If you believe CFR should trade below its current price, selling high and buying it back up again when its price falls towards its real value can be profitable. But before you make this decision, take a look at whether its fundamentals have changed.

Are you a potential investor? If you’ve been keeping an eye on CFR for a while, now may not be the best time to enter into the stock. The price has surpassed its true value, which means there’s no upside from mispricing. However, the positive outlook is encouraging for CFR, which means it’s worth diving deeper into other factors in order to take advantage of the next price drop.

Since timing is quite important when it comes to individual stock picking, it's worth taking a look at what those latest analysts forecasts are. At Simply Wall St, we have the analysts estimates which you can view by clicking here.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.