There are a few key trends to look for if we want to identify the next multi-bagger. Typically, we'll want to notice a trend of growing return on capital employed (ROCE) and alongside that, an expanding base of capital employed. Basically this means that a company has profitable initiatives that it can continue to reinvest in, which is a trait of a compounding machine. In light of that, when we looked at Sulzer (VTX:SUN) and its ROCE trend, we weren't exactly thrilled.
What Is Return On Capital Employed (ROCE)?
For those that aren't sure what ROCE is, it measures the amount of pre-tax profits a company can generate from the capital employed in its business. To calculate this metric for Sulzer, this is the formula:
Return on Capital Employed = Earnings Before Interest and Tax (EBIT) ÷ (Total Assets - Current Liabilities)
0.077 = CHF193m ÷ (CHF4.8b - CHF2.2b) (Based on the trailing twelve months to June 2022).
Thus, Sulzer has an ROCE of 7.7%. In absolute terms, that's a low return and it also under-performs the Machinery industry average of 17%.
Our analysis indicates that SUN is potentially undervalued!
Above you can see how the current ROCE for Sulzer compares to its prior returns on capital, but there's only so much you can tell from the past. If you're interested, you can view the analysts predictions in our free report on analyst forecasts for the company.
What Can We Tell From Sulzer's ROCE Trend?
There hasn't been much to report for Sulzer's returns and its level of capital employed because both metrics have been steady for the past five years. This tells us the company isn't reinvesting in itself, so it's plausible that it's past the growth phase. So don't be surprised if Sulzer doesn't end up being a multi-bagger in a few years time. With fewer investment opportunities, it makes sense that Sulzer has been paying out a decent 57% of its earnings to shareholders. Unless businesses have highly compelling growth opportunities, they'll typically return some money to shareholders.
Another point to note, we noticed the company has increased current liabilities over the last five years. This is intriguing because if current liabilities hadn't increased to 47% of total assets, this reported ROCE would probably be less than7.7% because total capital employed would be higher.The 7.7% ROCE could be even lower if current liabilities weren't 47% of total assets, because the the formula would show a larger base of total capital employed. Additionally, this high level of current liabilities isn't ideal because it means the company's suppliers (or short-term creditors) are effectively funding a large portion of the business.
Our Take On Sulzer's ROCE
We can conclude that in regards to Sulzer's returns on capital employed and the trends, there isn't much change to report on. Unsurprisingly then, the total return to shareholders over the last five years has been flat. Therefore based on the analysis done in this article, we don't think Sulzer has the makings of a multi-bagger.
If you want to know some of the risks facing Sulzer we've found 3 warning signs (1 doesn't sit too well with us!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
While Sulzer may not currently earn the highest returns, we've compiled a list of companies that currently earn more than 25% return on equity. Check out this free list here.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:SUN
Sulzer
Develops and sells products and services for fluid engineering and chemical processing applications worldwide.
Outstanding track record with excellent balance sheet and pays a dividend.