Schindler Holding AG

SWX:SCHN Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 26.7b

Schindler Holding Valuation

Is SCHN undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

2/6

Valuation Score 2/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of SCHN when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: SCHN (CHF245.5) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF332.48)

Significantly Below Fair Value: SCHN is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for SCHN?

Key metric: As SCHN is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for SCHN. This is calculated by dividing SCHN's market cap by their current earnings.
What is SCHN's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio28.6x
EarningsCHF 923.00m
Market CapCHF 26.65b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does SCHN's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for SCHN vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average28.2x
VACN VAT Group
50.6x21.8%CHF 10.1b
GF Georg Fischer
25.4x18.2%CHF 5.3b
SUN Sulzer
18x11.3%CHF 4.4b
SFSN SFS Group
19x10.7%CHF 4.8b
SCHN Schindler Holding
28.6x6.7%CHF 26.7b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: SCHN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the peer average (28.2x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does SCHN's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

3 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
SCHN 28.6xIndustry Avg. 17.3xNo. of Companies29PE01020304050+
3 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: SCHN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.3x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is SCHN's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

SCHN PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio28.6x
Fair PE Ratio25.6x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: SCHN is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (28.6x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (25.6x).

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst SCHN forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 245.50
CHF 260.23
+6.0%
7.6%CHF 295.00CHF 229.00n/a13
Nov ’25CHF 248.50
CHF 258.54
+4.0%
6.8%CHF 285.00CHF 229.00n/a13
Oct ’25CHF 241.00
CHF 242.58
+0.7%
9.9%CHF 285.00CHF 204.00n/a12
Sep ’25CHF 229.50
CHF 238.00
+3.7%
8.9%CHF 285.00CHF 204.00n/a12
Aug ’25CHF 230.50
CHF 236.83
+2.7%
9.4%CHF 285.00CHF 204.00n/a12
Jul ’25CHF 222.50
CHF 234.92
+5.6%
9.2%CHF 275.00CHF 198.00n/a13
Jun ’25CHF 228.00
CHF 233.40
+2.4%
8.9%CHF 275.00CHF 198.00n/a15
May ’25CHF 224.50
CHF 231.73
+3.2%
9.1%CHF 275.00CHF 198.00n/a15
Apr ’25CHF 220.00
CHF 228.79
+4.0%
8.8%CHF 270.00CHF 198.00n/a14
Mar ’25CHF 225.40
CHF 226.87
+0.7%
10.9%CHF 270.00CHF 180.00n/a15
Feb ’25CHF 206.00
CHF 210.73
+2.3%
11.6%CHF 250.00CHF 175.00n/a15
Jan ’25CHF 199.50
CHF 209.07
+4.8%
11.2%CHF 250.00CHF 175.00n/a15
Dec ’24CHF 187.40
CHF 211.07
+12.6%
13.1%CHF 280.00CHF 175.00n/a15
Nov ’24CHF 176.60
CHF 210.86
+19.4%
14.0%CHF 280.00CHF 170.00CHF 248.5014
Oct ’24CHF 176.80
CHF 213.33
+20.7%
13.5%CHF 280.00CHF 170.00CHF 241.0012
Sep ’24CHF 183.20
CHF 216.00
+17.9%
12.8%CHF 280.00CHF 169.00CHF 229.5012
Aug ’24CHF 201.60
CHF 217.42
+7.8%
12.9%CHF 280.00CHF 169.00CHF 230.5012
Jul ’24CHF 201.00
CHF 209.18
+4.1%
13.6%CHF 275.00CHF 169.00CHF 222.5011
Jun ’24CHF 183.50
CHF 206.55
+12.6%
13.7%CHF 275.00CHF 165.00CHF 228.0011
May ’24CHF 189.90
CHF 210.00
+10.6%
12.9%CHF 275.00CHF 165.00CHF 224.5013
Apr ’24CHF 193.00
CHF 209.92
+8.8%
12.4%CHF 275.00CHF 165.00CHF 220.0013
Mar ’24CHF 205.00
CHF 207.00
+1.0%
12.2%CHF 265.00CHF 163.00CHF 225.4013
Feb ’24CHF 185.20
CHF 195.62
+5.6%
14.0%CHF 265.00CHF 150.00CHF 206.0013
Jan ’24CHF 166.80
CHF 187.77
+12.6%
17.2%CHF 265.00CHF 130.00CHF 199.5013
Dec ’23CHF 170.20
CHF 187.77
+10.3%
17.2%CHF 265.00CHF 130.00CHF 187.4013
Nov ’23CHF 157.80
CHF 187.15
+18.6%
17.5%CHF 265.00CHF 130.00CHF 176.6013

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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