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- SWX:KOMN
Komax Holding (VTX:KOMN) sheds 4.0% this week, as yearly returns fall more in line with earnings growth
While Komax Holding AG (VTX:KOMN) shareholders are probably generally happy, the stock hasn't had particularly good run recently, with the share price falling 19% in the last quarter. But over three years, the returns would have left most investors smiling In the last three years the share price is up, 58%: better than the market.
Although Komax Holding has shed CHF51m from its market cap this week, let's take a look at its longer term fundamental trends and see if they've driven returns.
Check out our latest analysis for Komax Holding
SWOT Analysis for Komax Holding
- Earnings growth over the past year exceeded the industry.
- Debt is not viewed as a risk.
- Dividend is low compared to the top 25% of dividend payers in the Machinery market.
- Shareholders have been diluted in the past year.
- Annual earnings are forecast to grow faster than the Swiss market.
- Trading below our estimate of fair value by more than 20%.
- Dividends are not covered by cash flow.
- Revenue is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
There is no denying that markets are sometimes efficient, but prices do not always reflect underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
Komax Holding was able to grow its EPS at 43% per year over three years, sending the share price higher. This EPS growth is higher than the 17% average annual increase in the share price. Therefore, it seems the market has moderated its expectations for growth, somewhat.
The company's earnings per share (over time) is depicted in the image below (click to see the exact numbers).
We know that Komax Holding has improved its bottom line over the last three years, but what does the future have in store? Take a more thorough look at Komax Holding's financial health with this free report on its balance sheet.
What About Dividends?
As well as measuring the share price return, investors should also consider the total shareholder return (TSR). Whereas the share price return only reflects the change in the share price, the TSR includes the value of dividends (assuming they were reinvested) and the benefit of any discounted capital raising or spin-off. Arguably, the TSR gives a more comprehensive picture of the return generated by a stock. In the case of Komax Holding, it has a TSR of 65% for the last 3 years. That exceeds its share price return that we previously mentioned. The dividends paid by the company have thusly boosted the total shareholder return.
A Different Perspective
Komax Holding shareholders are down 7.9% for the year (even including dividends), but the market itself is up 0.2%. Even the share prices of good stocks drop sometimes, but we want to see improvements in the fundamental metrics of a business, before getting too interested. Unfortunately, last year's performance may indicate unresolved challenges, given that it was worse than the annualised loss of 2% over the last half decade. Generally speaking long term share price weakness can be a bad sign, though contrarian investors might want to research the stock in hope of a turnaround. It's always interesting to track share price performance over the longer term. But to understand Komax Holding better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 2 warning signs with Komax Holding , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
If you are like me, then you will not want to miss this free list of growing companies that insiders are buying.
Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on Swiss exchanges.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Komax Holding might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About SWX:KOMN
Komax Holding
Engages in the automated wire processing business in Europe, North America, South America, the Asia/Pacific, and Africa.
Excellent balance sheet and good value.
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