Stock Analysis

dormakaba Holding's (VTX:DOKA) Dividend Will Be Reduced To CHF11.50

SWX:DOKA
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dormakaba Holding AG (VTX:DOKA) has announced that on 17th of October, it will be paying a dividend ofCHF11.50, which a reduction from last year's comparable dividend. The yield is still above the industry average at 3.5%.

Check out our latest analysis for dormakaba Holding

dormakaba Holding's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

A big dividend yield for a few years doesn't mean much if it can't be sustained. At the time of the last dividend payment, dormakaba Holding was paying out a very large proportion of what it was earning and 98% of cash flows. Paying out such a high proportion of cash flows certainly exposes the company to cutting the dividend if cash flows were to reduce.

The next year is set to see EPS grow by 103.6%. Assuming the dividend continues along the course it has been charting recently, our estimates show the payout ratio being 37% which brings it into quite a comfortable range.

historic-dividend
SWX:DOKA Historic Dividend October 6th 2022

Dividend Volatility

Although the company has a long dividend history, it has been cut at least once in the last 10 years. Since 2012, the dividend has gone from CHF7.00 total annually to CHF11.50. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 5.1% a year over that time. We like to see dividends have grown at a reasonable rate, but with at least one substantial cut in the payments, we're not certain this dividend stock would be ideal for someone intending to live on the income.

Dividend Growth Potential Is Shaky

Growing earnings per share could be a mitigating factor when considering the past fluctuations in the dividend. dormakaba Holding's EPS has fallen by approximately 11% per year during the past five years. A sharp decline in earnings per share is not great from from a dividend perspective. Even conservative payout ratios can come under pressure if earnings fall far enough. It's not all bad news though, as the earnings are predicted to rise over the next 12 months - we would just be a bit cautious until this becomes a long term trend.

The Dividend Could Prove To Be Unreliable

Overall, the dividend looks like it may have been a bit high, which explains why it has now been cut. The track record isn't great, and the payments are a bit high to be considered sustainable. We would probably look elsewhere for an income investment.

Companies possessing a stable dividend policy will likely enjoy greater investor interest than those suffering from a more inconsistent approach. Meanwhile, despite the importance of dividend payments, they are not the only factors our readers should know when assessing a company. Case in point: We've spotted 4 warning signs for dormakaba Holding (of which 1 can't be ignored!) you should know about. Is dormakaba Holding not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.