AB Volvo (publ)

BRSE:VOL1 Stock Report

Market Cap: CHF 44.1b

AB Volvo Valuation

Is VOL1 undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

4/6

Valuation Score 4/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of VOL1 when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: VOL1 (CHF22.3) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CHF35.94)

Significantly Below Fair Value: VOL1 is trading below fair value by more than 20%.

Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for VOL1?

Key metric: As VOL1 is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for VOL1. This is calculated by dividing VOL1's market cap by their current earnings.
What is VOL1's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio10.5x
EarningsSEK 51.70b
Market CapSEK 541.93b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does VOL1's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for VOL1 vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average20.4x
BUCN Bucher Industries
11.1x-5.2%CHF 3.3b
SRAIL Stadler Rail
16.1x22.9%CHF 2.0b
SCHN Schindler Holding
28.6x6.6%CHF 26.5b
ABBN ABB
25.9x9.3%CHF 90.5b
VOL1 AB Volvo
10.5x0.8%CHF 541.9b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: VOL1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the peer average (20.4x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does VOL1's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the European Machinery Industry?

2 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
VOL1 10.5xIndustry Avg. 17.5xNo. of Companies26PE01020304050+
2 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: VOL1 is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (10.5x) compared to the European Machinery industry average (17.5x).

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is VOL1's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

VOL1 PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio10.5x
Fair PE Ration/a

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: Insufficient data to calculate VOL1's Price-To-Earnings Fair Ratio for valuation analysis.

Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst VOL1 forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCHF 22.30
CHF 24.91
+11.7%
8.1%CHF 27.94CHF 21.95n/a19
Dec ’25n/a
CHF 25.09
0%
9.5%CHF 30.71CHF 21.90n/a19
Nov ’25n/a
CHF 25.30
0%
10.1%CHF 30.99CHF 22.10n/a19
Oct ’25n/a
CHF 25.75
0%
11.2%CHF 31.78CHF 20.82n/a20
Sep ’25n/a
CHF 25.98
0%
10.9%CHF 31.47CHF 21.12n/a20
Aug ’25n/a
CHF 26.37
0%
11.5%CHF 31.79CHF 21.89n/a20
Jul ’25n/a
CHF 26.82
0%
11.3%CHF 32.77CHF 21.47n/a19
Jun ’25n/a
CHF 26.84
0%
11.1%CHF 32.79CHF 21.49n/a19
May ’25n/a
CHF 26.03
0%
10.6%CHF 29.98CHF 20.90n/a19
Apr ’25n/a
CHF 24.99
0%
12.6%CHF 30.06CHF 20.09n/a17
Mar ’25n/a
CHF 23.41
0%
15.0%CHF 30.53CHF 17.09n/a18
Feb ’25n/a
CHF 22.27
0%
13.8%CHF 28.11CHF 16.57n/a18
Jan ’25n/a
CHF 22.10
0%
13.7%CHF 26.69CHF 17.03n/a18
Dec ’24n/a
CHF 21.87
0%
14.2%CHF 26.57CHF 16.95n/a18
Nov ’24n/a
CHF 20.50
0%
14.3%CHF 25.66CHF 16.37n/a19
Oct ’24n/a
CHF 19.80
0%
13.1%CHF 23.67CHF 16.13n/a19
Sep ’24n/a
CHF 19.51
0%
12.9%CHF 23.66CHF 16.12n/a18
Aug ’24n/a
CHF 19.94
0%
13.0%CHF 24.18CHF 16.10n/a18
Jul ’24n/a
CHF 19.63
0%
13.3%CHF 24.22CHF 16.12n/a18
Jun ’24n/a
CHF 20.37
0%
14.2%CHF 25.32CHF 15.45n/a18
May ’24n/a
CHF 19.93
0%
14.8%CHF 25.07CHF 15.30n/a18
Apr ’24n/a
CHF 19.12
0%
11.6%CHF 23.81CHF 14.64n/a19
Mar ’24n/a
CHF 19.38
0%
11.9%CHF 24.11CHF 14.82n/a19
Feb ’24n/a
CHF 19.29
0%
11.8%CHF 24.19CHF 14.76n/a19
Jan ’24n/a
CHF 19.03
0%
11.9%CHF 23.76CHF 14.36n/a19
Dec ’23n/a
CHF 19.12
0%
12.6%CHF 24.16CHF 14.60n/a19

Analyst Forecast: Target price is less than 20% higher than the current share price.

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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2024/12/26 14:21
End of Day Share Price 2024/12/19 00:00
Earnings2024/09/30
Annual Earnings2023/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more here.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

Details of the analysis model used to generate this report is available on our Github page, we also have guides on how to use our reports and tutorials on Youtube.

Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on .

Analyst Sources

AB Volvo (publ) is covered by 51 analysts. 17 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Olof CederholmABG Sundal Collier
Hans-Peter WodniokAlphaValue
David LeikerBaird