Stock Analysis

TransAlta Corporation's (TSE:TA) Low P/S No Reason For Excitement

TSX:TA
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With a price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.9x TransAlta Corporation (TSE:TA) may be sending bullish signals at the moment, given that almost half of all the Renewable Energy companies in Canada have P/S ratios greater than 2.7x and even P/S higher than 7x are not unusual. However, the P/S might be low for a reason and it requires further investigation to determine if it's justified.

See our latest analysis for TransAlta

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:TA Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry December 27th 2023

What Does TransAlta's P/S Mean For Shareholders?

Recent times have been advantageous for TransAlta as its revenues have been rising faster than most other companies. Perhaps the market is expecting future revenue performance to dive, which has kept the P/S suppressed. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on TransAlta will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

How Is TransAlta's Revenue Growth Trending?

TransAlta's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver limited growth, and importantly, perform worse than the industry.

Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 31% last year. Pleasingly, revenue has also lifted 66% in aggregate from three years ago, thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.

Shifting to the future, estimates from the four analysts covering the company suggest revenue growth is heading into negative territory, declining 15% per annum over the next three years. That's not great when the rest of the industry is expected to grow by 6.1% each year.

In light of this, it's understandable that TransAlta's P/S would sit below the majority of other companies. However, shrinking revenues are unlikely to lead to a stable P/S over the longer term. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.

What Does TransAlta's P/S Mean For Investors?

While the price-to-sales ratio shouldn't be the defining factor in whether you buy a stock or not, it's quite a capable barometer of revenue expectations.

With revenue forecasts that are inferior to the rest of the industry, it's no surprise that TransAlta's P/S is on the lower end of the spectrum. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/S as they concede future revenue probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. It's hard to see the share price rising strongly in the near future under these circumstances.

It is also worth noting that we have found 4 warning signs for TransAlta (1 shouldn't be ignored!) that you need to take into consideration.

If you're unsure about the strength of TransAlta's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether TransAlta is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.