Northland Power Inc.

TSX:NPI Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$6.0b

Northland Power Past Earnings Performance

Past criteria checks 0/6

Northland Power's earnings have been declining at an average annual rate of -37.8%, while the Renewable Energy industry saw earnings growing at 10.1% annually. Revenues have been growing at an average rate of 3.2% per year.

Key information

-37.80%

Earnings growth rate

-39.45%

EPS growth rate

Renewable Energy Industry Growth16.24%
Revenue growth rate3.21%
Return on equity-1.29%
Net Margin-5.81%
Last Earnings Update31 Mar 2026

Recent past performance updates

Recent updates

Narrative Update May 08

NPI: Offshore Contract Progress And Higher P E Multiple Support Balanced Outlook

Analysts have inched their average price target on Northland Power higher by about CA$0.33, reflecting fine-tuning around a slightly lower discount rate and a modestly higher assumed future P/E multiple in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Northland Power centers on how analysts are recalibrating their expectations for the stock rather than making sharp directional calls.
Narrative Update Apr 23

NPI: Fair Outlook As Higher P/E Assumptions Meet Execution Risks

Analysts have slightly increased their average price target on Northland Power by about CA$0.20, pointing to updated models that reflect a modestly higher fair value estimate and P/E multiple, along with more cautious assumptions for revenue growth and profit margins. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Northland Power has focused on updated price targets and how those line up with execution risks and growth plans.
Narrative Update Apr 08

NPI: Fair Outlook As Higher Profitability Assumptions Meet Execution Uncertainty

Northland Power's analyst price target has shifted higher, rising by about CA$2 to CA$24, as analysts adjust their models to reflect updated assumptions on revenue growth, margins and future P/E, in line with recent target increases from CIBC and TD Securities. Analyst Commentary Recent research on Northland Power has centered on updated price targets in the low C$20s and differing views on how current fundamentals line up with that valuation range.
Narrative Update Mar 25

NPI: Future Returns Will Hinge On Execution As Expectations Edge Higher

Narrative update Northland Power's updated fair value estimate edges up to about CA$23.73 from CA$23.50, reflecting recent analyst price target increases to CA$23 and CA$24, as well as a modestly lower discount rate in the refreshed model. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Northland Power centers on modest upward revisions to price targets, with views split between more upbeat growth expectations and a preference to wait for further execution proof points.
Narrative Update Mar 11

NPI: Future Returns Will Depend On Execution Against Modest Plan Adjustments

Analysts have raised their fair value estimate for Northland Power to CA$23.50 from CA$22.15, reflecting updated assumptions around revenue growth, profit margins, and a modestly lower discount rate, consistent with recent target increases from CIBC to CA$24 and TD Securities to CA$23. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research around Northland Power centers on modest upward revisions to price targets, with bullish analysts adjusting their models while others maintain a more neutral stance on near term execution and valuation.
Narrative Update Feb 24

NPI: Future Returns Will Reflect Execution Versus Funding Risk At Current Levels

Analysts have kept their fair value estimate for Northland Power steady at about CA$22.15, with a slightly higher discount rate and modest tweaks to growth and margin assumptions informing an updated price target narrative. Analyst Commentary Recent commentary on Northland Power suggests a mixed but relatively balanced view, with analysts weighing valuation support against execution and industry wide risks.
Narrative Update Feb 10

NPI: Future Returns Will Hinge On Offshore Execution And Polish Storage Delivery

Analysts have trimmed their targets on Northland Power in recent weeks, and our updated work reflects only a modest fair value adjustment to about C$22.15 as they factor in slower growth expectations, higher perceived risk, and slightly more conservative P/E assumptions. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Northland Power has centered on reassessing growth, execution risk, and how much of a discount the shares should carry, with several price targets reset in the C$19 to C$27 range and some rating downgrades following the latest investor communications.
Analysis Article Feb 02

Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Has Some Difficulty Using Its Capital Effectively

What underlying fundamental trends can indicate that a company might be in decline? A business that's potentially in...
Narrative Update Jan 25

NPI: Future Returns Will Reflect Offshore Execution Progress And Polish Storage Buildout

Analysts have trimmed their Northland Power targets by a few dollars, with fair value now around C$22.00. This reflects slightly lower growth and margin assumptions, as well as modestly reduced future P/E expectations.
Narrative Update Jan 11

NPI: Future Returns Will Benefit From Resolving Offshore Execution Uncertainty

Analysts have pulled back on Northland Power, trimming price targets to a C$19 to C$27 range as they factor in a slower growth path, more cautious free cash flow expectations and offshore execution uncertainty in their updated models. Analyst Commentary Recent Street research on Northland Power clusters around a tighter C$19 to C$27 price target band, with several firms revising models after the company’s investor day and reassessing how execution risk and a slower growth profile feed into valuation.
Analysis Article Dec 28

Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

David Iben put it well when he said, 'Volatility is not a risk we care about. What we care about is avoiding the...
Narrative Update Dec 15

NPI: Future Returns Will Benefit From Offshore Wind Execution Improvements

Northland Power's analyst fair value estimate has edged down slightly to about C$22.15 from roughly C$22.31, as analysts trim price targets into the C$19 to C$27 range to reflect a slower growth outlook, offshore execution risks, and a modestly higher perceived valuation discount, despite maintained positive ratings from several firms. Analyst Commentary Recent research updates show a gradual reset of expectations for Northland Power, with lower price targets clustering in the high-teens to mid C$20s but with many firms still seeing upside from current levels.
Narrative Update Nov 29

NPI: Future Returns Will Benefit From Battery Storage Expansion In Poland

Northland Power’s average analyst price target has decreased from approximately C$25.08 to C$22.31. Analysts cite slower growth expectations and increased execution risks in their revised outlook.
Analysis Article Nov 16

Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI) Not Doing Enough For Some Investors As Its Shares Slump 27%

Northland Power Inc. ( TSE:NPI ) shares have had a horrible month, losing 27% after a relatively good period...
Narrative Update Nov 15

NPI: Earnings Growth Will Benefit From Supportive Sector Dynamics Ahead

Northland Power's average analyst price target has decreased by approximately C$2.38 to C$25.08. Analysts cite increased discount rates and greater uncertainty in growth and margins as supporting factors for the revised outlook.
Analysis Article Jul 31

These 4 Measures Indicate That Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Is Using Debt Extensively

Howard Marks put it nicely when he said that, rather than worrying about share price volatility, 'The possibility of...
Analysis Article Jul 16

Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) Share Price Could Signal Some Risk

It's not a stretch to say that Northland Power Inc.'s ( TSE:NPI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.7x right now...
Analysis Article Jun 15

Are Investors Undervaluing Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI) By 40%?

Key Insights Northland Power's estimated fair value is CA$36.28 based on 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity Current share...
Analysis Article Apr 26

Is Northland Power (TSE:NPI) A Risky Investment?

Some say volatility, rather than debt, is the best way to think about risk as an investor, but Warren Buffett famously...
Analysis Article Apr 08

Market Cool On Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) Revenues

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.4x in the Renewable Energy industry in Canada, you could be...
Analysis Article Mar 21

Slowing Rates Of Return At Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Leave Little Room For Excitement

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...
Analysis Article Jan 01

Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt

The external fund manager backed by Berkshire Hathaway's Charlie Munger, Li Lu, makes no bones about it when he says...
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New Narrative Dec 22

Successful Execution Of Hai Long And Baltic Power Projects Set To Boost Earnings And Cash Flow, Driving Future Growth

Northland Power's construction projects and strategic expansions could significantly enhance EBITDA, cash flow, and future revenue growth.
Analysis Article Dec 05

Some Confidence Is Lacking In Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) P/S

It's not a stretch to say that Northland Power Inc.'s ( TSE:NPI ) price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 2.1x right now...
Analysis Article Oct 19

Are Investors Undervaluing Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI) By 48%?

Key Insights Using the 2 Stage Free Cash Flow to Equity, Northland Power fair value estimate is CA$42.92 Northland...
Analysis Article Oct 04

Return Trends At Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Aren't Appealing

If we want to find a stock that could multiply over the long term, what are the underlying trends we should look for...

Revenue & Expenses Breakdown

How Northland Power makes and spends money. Based on latest reported earnings, on an LTM basis.


Earnings and Revenue History

TSX:NPI Revenue, expenses and earnings (CAD Millions)
DateRevenueEarningsG+A ExpensesR&D Expenses
31 Mar 262,554-1481870
31 Dec 252,445-1701830
30 Sep 252,311-2861750
30 Jun 252,247-521780
31 Mar 252,2672571790
31 Dec 242,3572661760
30 Sep 242,419-1481950
30 Jun 242,440662030
31 Mar 242,380-1762200
31 Dec 232,244-1812290
30 Sep 232,2483822130
30 Jun 232,2904261960
31 Mar 232,3756581720
31 Dec 222,4498171610
30 Sep 222,4486421590
30 Jun 222,3245561500
31 Mar 222,1763071470
31 Dec 212,0931791380
30 Sep 211,9461191390
30 Jun 211,9852061350
31 Mar 212,0062721390
31 Dec 202,0613701350
30 Sep 202,0063711170
30 Jun 201,9143661090
31 Mar 201,828364960
31 Dec 191,659309900
30 Sep 191,602307820
30 Jun 191,573299770
31 Mar 191,568299800
31 Dec 181,556267800
30 Sep 181,569271790
30 Jun 181,514224860
31 Mar 181,499206820
31 Dec 171,376150860
30 Sep 171,460268880
30 Jun 171,431216820
31 Mar 171,285217760
31 Dec 161,099110650
30 Sep 16792-50560
30 Jun 16714-104480
31 Mar 16705-49430
31 Dec 15728-12420
30 Sep 15745-66420
30 Jun 157304420

Quality Earnings: NPI is currently unprofitable.

Growing Profit Margin: NPI is currently unprofitable.


Free Cash Flow vs Earnings Analysis


Past Earnings Growth Analysis

Earnings Trend: NPI is unprofitable, and losses have increased over the past 5 years at a rate of 37.8% per year.

Accelerating Growth: Unable to compare NPI's earnings growth over the past year to its 5-year average as it is currently unprofitable

Earnings vs Industry: NPI is unprofitable, making it difficult to compare its past year earnings growth to the Renewable Energy industry (-9.2%).


Return on Equity

High ROE: NPI has a negative Return on Equity (-1.29%), as it is currently unprofitable.


Return on Assets


Return on Capital Employed


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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status

DataLast Updated (UTC time)
Company Analysis2026/05/26 16:03
End of Day Share Price 2026/05/26 00:00
Earnings2026/03/31
Annual Earnings2025/12/31

Data Sources

The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.

PackageDataTimeframeExample US Source *
Company Financials10 years
  • Income statement
  • Cash flow statement
  • Balance sheet
Analyst Consensus Estimates+3 years
  • Forecast financials
  • Analyst price targets
Market Prices30 years
  • Stock prices
  • Dividends, Splits and Actions
Ownership10 years
  • Top shareholders
  • Insider trading
Management10 years
  • Leadership team
  • Board of directors
Key Developments10 years
  • Company announcements

* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.

Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.

Analysis Model and Snowflake

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Learn about the world class team who designed and built the Simply Wall St analysis model.

Industry and Sector Metrics

Our industry and section metrics are calculated every 6 hours by Simply Wall St, details of our process are available on Github.

Analyst Sources

Northland Power Inc. is covered by 23 analysts. 9 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.

AnalystInstitution
Harshit GuptaAccountability Research Corporation
Nathan HeywoodATB Cormark
Benjamin PhamBMO Capital Markets Equity Research