Stock Analysis

Market Cool On Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) Revenues

With a median price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of close to 2.4x in the Renewable Energy industry in Canada, you could be forgiven for feeling indifferent about Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) P/S ratio of 2x. Although, it's not wise to simply ignore the P/S without explanation as investors may be disregarding a distinct opportunity or a costly mistake.

See our latest analysis for Northland Power

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:NPI Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry April 8th 2025
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What Does Northland Power's Recent Performance Look Like?

Recent revenue growth for Northland Power has been in line with the industry. The P/S ratio is probably moderate because investors think this modest revenue performance will continue. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this can at least be maintained so that you could pick up some stock while it's not quite in favour.

Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on Northland Power will help you uncover what's on the horizon.

What Are Revenue Growth Metrics Telling Us About The P/S?

Northland Power's P/S ratio would be typical for a company that's only expected to deliver moderate growth, and importantly, perform in line with the industry.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 5.0% gain to the company's revenues. Revenue has also lifted 13% in aggregate from three years ago, partly thanks to the last 12 months of growth. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been respectable for the company.

Looking ahead now, revenue is anticipated to climb by 9.3% each year during the coming three years according to the eleven analysts following the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to only expand by 6.9% per annum, which is noticeably less attractive.

In light of this, it's curious that Northland Power's P/S sits in line with the majority of other companies. Apparently some shareholders are skeptical of the forecasts and have been accepting lower selling prices.

The Final Word

Typically, we'd caution against reading too much into price-to-sales ratios when settling on investment decisions, though it can reveal plenty about what other market participants think about the company.

Despite enticing revenue growth figures that outpace the industry, Northland Power's P/S isn't quite what we'd expect. There could be some risks that the market is pricing in, which is preventing the P/S ratio from matching the positive outlook. This uncertainty seems to be reflected in the share price which, while stable, could be higher given the revenue forecasts.

You should always think about risks. Case in point, we've spotted 2 warning signs for Northland Power you should be aware of, and 1 of them shouldn't be ignored.

Of course, profitable companies with a history of great earnings growth are generally safer bets. So you may wish to see this free collection of other companies that have reasonable P/E ratios and have grown earnings strongly.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Northland Power might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

Access Free Analysis

Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:NPI

Northland Power

Operates as a power producer in Canada, the Netherlands, Germany, Colombia, Spain, the United States, and internationally.

Very undervalued with reasonable growth potential and pays a dividend.

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