Northland Power Future Growth
Future criteria checks 2/6
Northland Power is forecast to grow earnings and revenue by 16.4% and 4.6% per annum respectively. EPS is expected to grow by 16.8% per annum. Return on equity is forecast to be 11% in 3 years.
Key information
16.4%
Earnings growth rate
16.8%
EPS growth rate
| Renewable Energy earnings growth | -2.0% |
| Revenue growth rate | 4.6% |
| Future return on equity | 11.0% |
| Analyst coverage | Good |
| Last updated | 20 Apr 2025 |
Recent future growth updates
Recent updates
Market Cool On Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) Revenues
Apr 08
Slowing Rates Of Return At Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Leave Little Room For Excitement
Mar 21Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Jan 01
Successful Execution Of Hai Long And Baltic Power Projects Set To Boost Earnings And Cash Flow, Driving Future Growth
Dec 22 Northland Power's construction projects and strategic expansions could significantly enhance EBITDA, cash flow, and future revenue growth.Some Confidence Is Lacking In Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) P/S
Dec 05Are Investors Undervaluing Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI) By 48%?
Oct 19Return Trends At Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Aren't Appealing
Oct 04Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Takes On Some Risk With Its Use Of Debt
Sep 18There May Be Some Bright Spots In Northland Power's (TSE:NPI) Earnings
Aug 21Is Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI) Worth CA$24.7 Based On Its Intrinsic Value?
Jul 15Here's What To Make Of Northland Power's (TSE:NPI) Decelerating Rates Of Return
Jun 27Is Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Using Too Much Debt?
May 27Some Shareholders Feeling Restless Over Northland Power Inc.'s (TSE:NPI) P/S Ratio
May 09Here's What To Make Of Northland Power's (TSE:NPI) Decelerating Rates Of Return
Mar 25Are Investors Undervaluing Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI) By 23%?
Mar 06Here's Why Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Has A Meaningful Debt Burden
Feb 19Getting In Cheap On Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI) Is Unlikely
Jan 09A Look At The Fair Value Of Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI)
Nov 27Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Will Be Hoping To Turn Its Returns On Capital Around
Nov 13These 4 Measures Indicate That Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Is Using Debt Extensively
Oct 30A Look At The Intrinsic Value Of Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI)
Jun 06Returns At Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Are On The Way Up
May 01Is Northland Power (TSE:NPI) Using Too Much Debt?
Mar 29Is Now The Time To Put Northland Power (TSE:NPI) On Your Watchlist?
Feb 24Estimating The Fair Value Of Northland Power Inc. (TSE:NPI)
Feb 02Earnings and Revenue Growth Forecasts
| Date | Revenue | Earnings | Free Cash Flow | Cash from Op | Avg. No. Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/31/2027 | 2,722 | 463 | 571 | 1,609 | 4 |
| 12/31/2026 | 2,638 | 420 | 403 | 1,490 | 8 |
| 12/31/2025 | 2,422 | 352 | 331 | 1,306 | 10 |
| 12/31/2024 | 2,357 | 266 | 477 | 1,029 | N/A |
| 9/30/2024 | 2,401 | -148 | 141 | 805 | N/A |
| 6/30/2024 | 2,423 | 66 | 73 | 757 | N/A |
| 3/31/2024 | 2,366 | -176 | 194 | 782 | N/A |
| 12/31/2023 | 2,244 | -181 | 369 | 811 | N/A |
| 9/30/2023 | 2,248 | 382 | 735 | 1,200 | N/A |
| 6/30/2023 | 2,290 | 426 | 1,069 | 1,575 | N/A |
| 3/31/2023 | 2,375 | 658 | 1,219 | 1,683 | N/A |
| 12/31/2022 | 2,449 | 817 | 1,348 | 1,833 | N/A |
| 9/30/2022 | 2,448 | 642 | 1,327 | 1,842 | N/A |
| 6/30/2022 | 2,324 | 556 | 1,082 | 1,599 | N/A |
| 3/31/2022 | 2,176 | 307 | 1,143 | 1,647 | N/A |
| 12/31/2021 | 2,093 | 179 | 1,140 | 1,609 | N/A |
| 9/30/2021 | 1,946 | 119 | 1,063 | 1,360 | N/A |
| 6/30/2021 | 1,985 | 206 | 1,140 | 1,358 | N/A |
| 3/31/2021 | 2,006 | 272 | 1,150 | 1,362 | N/A |
| 12/31/2020 | 2,061 | 370 | 1,095 | 1,322 | N/A |
| 9/30/2020 | 2,006 | 371 | 1,079 | 1,345 | N/A |
| 6/30/2020 | 1,914 | 366 | 904 | 1,308 | N/A |
| 3/31/2020 | 1,828 | 364 | 614 | 1,284 | N/A |
| 12/31/2019 | 1,659 | 309 | 458 | 1,224 | N/A |
| 9/30/2019 | 1,602 | 307 | 371 | 1,182 | N/A |
| 6/30/2019 | 1,573 | 299 | 403 | 1,134 | N/A |
| 3/31/2019 | 1,568 | 299 | 681 | 1,136 | N/A |
| 12/31/2018 | 1,556 | 267 | 737 | 1,134 | N/A |
| 9/30/2018 | 1,569 | 271 | N/A | 1,100 | N/A |
| 6/30/2018 | 1,514 | 224 | N/A | 1,080 | N/A |
| 3/31/2018 | 1,499 | 206 | N/A | 878 | N/A |
| 12/31/2017 | 1,376 | 150 | N/A | 849 | N/A |
| 9/30/2017 | 1,460 | 268 | N/A | 936 | N/A |
| 6/30/2017 | 1,431 | 216 | N/A | 922 | N/A |
| 3/31/2017 | 1,285 | 217 | N/A | 888 | N/A |
| 12/31/2016 | 1,099 | 110 | N/A | 720 | N/A |
| 9/30/2016 | 792 | -50 | N/A | 448 | N/A |
| 6/30/2016 | 714 | -104 | N/A | 407 | N/A |
| 3/31/2016 | 705 | -49 | N/A | 388 | N/A |
| 12/31/2015 | 728 | -12 | N/A | 399 | N/A |
| 9/30/2015 | 745 | -66 | N/A | 400 | N/A |
| 6/30/2015 | 730 | 4 | N/A | 357 | N/A |
| 3/31/2015 | 732 | -150 | N/A | 435 | N/A |
| 12/31/2014 | 760 | -120 | N/A | 367 | N/A |
| 9/30/2014 | 746 | -59 | N/A | 370 | N/A |
| 6/30/2014 | 726 | -9 | N/A | 372 | N/A |
Analyst Future Growth Forecasts
Earnings vs Savings Rate: NPI's forecast earnings growth (16.4% per year) is above the savings rate (2.4%).
Earnings vs Market: NPI's earnings (16.4% per year) are forecast to grow faster than the Canadian market (16.4% per year).
High Growth Earnings: NPI's earnings are forecast to grow, but not significantly.
Revenue vs Market: NPI's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than the Canadian market (4.7% per year).
High Growth Revenue: NPI's revenue (4.6% per year) is forecast to grow slower than 20% per year.
Earnings per Share Growth Forecasts
Future Return on Equity
Future ROE: NPI's Return on Equity is forecast to be low in 3 years time (11%).
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Company Analysis and Financial Data Status
| Data | Last Updated (UTC time) |
|---|---|
| Company Analysis | 2025/04/21 13:26 |
| End of Day Share Price | 2025/04/17 00:00 |
| Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
| Annual Earnings | 2024/12/31 |
Data Sources
The data used in our company analysis is from S&P Global Market Intelligence LLC. The following data is used in our analysis model to generate this report. Data is normalised which can introduce a delay from the source being available.
| Package | Data | Timeframe | Example US Source * |
|---|---|---|---|
| Company Financials | 10 years |
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| Analyst Consensus Estimates | +3 years |
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| Market Prices | 30 years |
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| Ownership | 10 years |
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| Management | 10 years |
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| Key Developments | 10 years |
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* Example for US securities, for non-US equivalent regulatory forms and sources are used.
Unless specified all financial data is based on a yearly period but updated quarterly. This is known as Trailing Twelve Month (TTM) or Last Twelve Month (LTM) Data. Learn more.
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Industry and Sector Metrics
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Analyst Sources
Northland Power Inc. is covered by 29 analysts. 10 of those analysts submitted the estimates of revenue or earnings used as inputs to our report. Analysts submissions are updated throughout the day.
| Analyst | Institution |
|---|---|
| Harshit Gupta | Accountability Research Corporation |
| Nathan Heywood | ATB Capital Markets |
| Benjamin Pham | BMO Capital Markets Equity Research |