Stock Analysis

Does Northland Power’s Quarterly Loss Upend the Bull Case for TSX:NPI?

  • Northland Power Inc. recently reported its second quarter 2025 results, revealing sales of CA$509.13 million and a net loss of CA$62.74 million, compared to a net income of CA$246.09 million in the same period last year.
  • This marks a reversal from prior profitability, underscoring how business challenges weighed on both sales and earnings despite the company's ongoing monthly dividend payments.
  • We'll examine how Northland Power's quarterly loss and lower revenue may reshape its investment narrative and long-term outlook.

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Northland Power Investment Narrative Recap

To be a Northland Power shareholder, you need confidence in the continued global demand for renewables and belief in the company’s ability to execute new projects while managing financial headwinds. The recent quarterly loss and declining sales underline execution risk and raise short-term questions about margin stability, but do not materially change the core catalysts of major project delivery or the biggest risk of ongoing wind variability in key offshore markets.

Of the recent announcements, the energization of the Hai Long Offshore Wind Project in Taiwan stands out for its direct link to Northland's growth strategy. Successfully bringing this 1 GW project online is aligned with the core catalyst of adding contracted, diversified capacity, which is central to restoring earnings momentum after the challenging quarter.

But investors should be aware that, in contrast to project gains, exposure to unpredictable wind resources could still...

Read the full narrative on Northland Power (it's free!)

Northland Power's narrative projects CA$2.8 billion in revenue and CA$456.8 million in earnings by 2028. This requires 7.5% yearly revenue growth and an increase of CA$508.5 million in earnings from the current level of CA$-51.7 million.

Uncover how Northland Power's forecasts yield a CA$27.38 fair value, a 23% upside to its current price.

Exploring Other Perspectives

TSX:NPI Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025
TSX:NPI Community Fair Values as at Aug 2025

Simply Wall St Community members contribute four independent CA$ fair value estimates for Northland Power, ranging from CA$17.94 to CA$36.53 per share. As you weigh these views, remember recent earnings show how project delivery and regional wind patterns can directly impact expectations for future cash flow and performance.

Explore 4 other fair value estimates on Northland Power - why the stock might be worth 19% less than the current price!

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Northland Power might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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