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These 4 Measures Indicate That Innergex Renewable Energy (TSE:INE) Is Using Debt In A Risky Way
Legendary fund manager Li Lu (who Charlie Munger backed) once said, 'The biggest investment risk is not the volatility of prices, but whether you will suffer a permanent loss of capital.' So it might be obvious that you need to consider debt, when you think about how risky any given stock is, because too much debt can sink a company. We can see that Innergex Renewable Energy Inc. (TSE:INE) does use debt in its business. But should shareholders be worried about its use of debt?
Why Does Debt Bring Risk?
Debt and other liabilities become risky for a business when it cannot easily fulfill those obligations, either with free cash flow or by raising capital at an attractive price. In the worst case scenario, a company can go bankrupt if it cannot pay its creditors. However, a more frequent (but still costly) occurrence is where a company must issue shares at bargain-basement prices, permanently diluting shareholders, just to shore up its balance sheet. Of course, the upside of debt is that it often represents cheap capital, especially when it replaces dilution in a company with the ability to reinvest at high rates of return. When we examine debt levels, we first consider both cash and debt levels, together.
View our latest analysis for Innergex Renewable Energy
What Is Innergex Renewable Energy's Debt?
As you can see below, Innergex Renewable Energy had CA$4.74b of debt, at March 2022, which is about the same as the year before. You can click the chart for greater detail. However, it does have CA$201.5m in cash offsetting this, leading to net debt of about CA$4.54b.
A Look At Innergex Renewable Energy's Liabilities
According to the last reported balance sheet, Innergex Renewable Energy had liabilities of CA$718.2m due within 12 months, and liabilities of CA$5.10b due beyond 12 months. Offsetting these obligations, it had cash of CA$201.5m as well as receivables valued at CA$115.3m due within 12 months. So its liabilities total CA$5.50b more than the combination of its cash and short-term receivables.
The deficiency here weighs heavily on the CA$3.67b company itself, as if a child were struggling under the weight of an enormous back-pack full of books, his sports gear, and a trumpet. So we definitely think shareholders need to watch this one closely. At the end of the day, Innergex Renewable Energy would probably need a major re-capitalization if its creditors were to demand repayment.
In order to size up a company's debt relative to its earnings, we calculate its net debt divided by its earnings before interest, tax, depreciation, and amortization (EBITDA) and its earnings before interest and tax (EBIT) divided by its interest expense (its interest cover). The advantage of this approach is that we take into account both the absolute quantum of debt (with net debt to EBITDA) and the actual interest expenses associated with that debt (with its interest cover ratio).
Weak interest cover of 0.93 times and a disturbingly high net debt to EBITDA ratio of 9.0 hit our confidence in Innergex Renewable Energy like a one-two punch to the gut. The debt burden here is substantial. Even more troubling is the fact that Innergex Renewable Energy actually let its EBIT decrease by 2.0% over the last year. If that earnings trend continues the company will face an uphill battle to pay off its debt. There's no doubt that we learn most about debt from the balance sheet. But ultimately the future profitability of the business will decide if Innergex Renewable Energy can strengthen its balance sheet over time. So if you're focused on the future you can check out this free report showing analyst profit forecasts.
Finally, a business needs free cash flow to pay off debt; accounting profits just don't cut it. So it's worth checking how much of that EBIT is backed by free cash flow. During the last three years, Innergex Renewable Energy burned a lot of cash. While that may be a result of expenditure for growth, it does make the debt far more risky.
Our View
On the face of it, Innergex Renewable Energy's interest cover left us tentative about the stock, and its conversion of EBIT to free cash flow was no more enticing than the one empty restaurant on the busiest night of the year. But at least its EBIT growth rate is not so bad. Taking into account all the aforementioned factors, it looks like Innergex Renewable Energy has too much debt. That sort of riskiness is ok for some, but it certainly doesn't float our boat. The balance sheet is clearly the area to focus on when you are analysing debt. However, not all investment risk resides within the balance sheet - far from it. For example Innergex Renewable Energy has 2 warning signs (and 1 which is a bit unpleasant) we think you should know about.
Of course, if you're the type of investor who prefers buying stocks without the burden of debt, then don't hesitate to discover our exclusive list of net cash growth stocks, today.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:INE
Innergex Renewable Energy
Operates as an independent renewable power producer in Canada, the United States, France, and Chile.
Undervalued low.