Stock Analysis

Hydro One (TSE:H) Is Increasing Its Dividend To CA$0.2964

TSX:H
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Hydro One Limited (TSE:H) will increase its dividend on the 30th of June to CA$0.2964, which is 6.0% higher than last year's payment from the same period of CA$0.28. Despite this raise, the dividend yield of 2.8% is only a modest boost to shareholder returns.

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Hydro One's Earnings Easily Cover The Distributions

It would be nice for the yield to be higher, but we should also check if higher levels of dividend payment would be sustainable. The last payment was quite easily covered by earnings, but it made up 1,813% of cash flows. While the company may be more focused on returning cash to shareholders than growing the business at this time, we think that a cash payout ratio this high might expose the dividend to being cut if the business ran into some challenges.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 22.2%. If the dividend continues on this path, the payout ratio could be 57% by next year, which we think can be pretty sustainable going forward.

historic-dividend
TSX:H Historic Dividend May 11th 2023

Hydro One Doesn't Have A Long Payment History

The dividend's track record has been pretty solid, but with only 7 years of history we want to see a few more years of history before making any solid conclusions. The annual payment during the last 7 years was CA$0.84 in 2016, and the most recent fiscal year payment was CA$1.12. This works out to be a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of approximately 4.2% a year over that time. It's good to see at least some dividend growth. Yet with a relatively short dividend paying history, we wouldn't want to depend on this dividend too heavily.

The Dividend Has Growth Potential

Some investors will be chomping at the bit to buy some of the company's stock based on its dividend history. Hydro One has seen EPS rising for the last five years, at 7.3% per annum. The company is paying out a lot of its cash as a dividend, but it looks okay based on the payout ratio.

Our Thoughts On Hydro One's Dividend

Overall, we always like to see the dividend being raised, but we don't think Hydro One will make a great income stock. While Hydro One is earning enough to cover the payments, the cash flows are lacking. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.

It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. Case in point: We've spotted 2 warning signs for Hydro One (of which 1 shouldn't be ignored!) you should know about. Looking for more high-yielding dividend ideas? Try our collection of strong dividend payers.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.