Exchange Income Corporation's (TSE:EIF) investors are due to receive a payment of CA$0.22 per share on 15th of July. This means the annual payment is 4.5% of the current stock price, which is above the average for the industry.
Exchange Income's Future Dividend Projections Appear Well Covered By Earnings
We like to see robust dividend yields, but that doesn't matter if the payment isn't sustainable. Based on the last payment, earnings were actually smaller than the dividend, and the company was actually spending more cash than it was making. This high of a dividend payment could start to put pressure on the balance sheet in the future.
Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 64.0%. Under the assumption that the dividend will continue along recent trends, we think the payout ratio could be 69% which would be quite comfortable going to take the dividend forward.
Check out our latest analysis for Exchange Income
Exchange Income Has A Solid Track Record
Even over a long history of paying dividends, the company's distributions have been remarkably stable. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$1.68 in 2015 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$2.64. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 4.6% per annum over that time. While the consistency in the dividend payments is impressive, we think the relatively slow rate of growth is less attractive.
The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited
The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Earnings per share has been crawling upwards at 2.5% per year. So the company has struggled to grow its EPS yet it's still paying out 103% of its earnings. Limited recent earnings growth and a high payout ratio makes it hard for us to envision strong future dividend growth, unless the company should have substantial pricing power or some form of competitive advantage.
Exchange Income's Dividend Doesn't Look Sustainable
Overall, it's nice to see a consistent dividend payment, but we think that longer term, the current level of payment might be unsustainable. In the past the payments have been stable, but we think the company is paying out too much for this to continue for the long term. Overall, we don't think this company has the makings of a good income stock.
It's important to note that companies having a consistent dividend policy will generate greater investor confidence than those having an erratic one. Still, investors need to consider a host of other factors, apart from dividend payments, when analysing a company. For example, we've picked out 2 warning signs for Exchange Income that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. Is Exchange Income not quite the opportunity you were looking for? Why not check out our selection of top dividend stocks.
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