Exchange Income Corporation

TSX:EIF Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$2.1b

Exchange Income Valuation

Is EIF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

5/6

Valuation Score 5/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EIF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EIF (CA$43.46) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$79.59)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EIF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EIF?

Other financial metrics that can be useful for relative valuation.

EIF key valuation metrics and ratios. From Price to Earnings, Price to Sales and Price to Book to Price to Earnings Growth Ratio, Enterprise Value and EBITDA.
Key Statistics
Enterprise Value/Revenue1.6x
Enterprise Value/EBITDA7.7x
PEG Ratio0.8x

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EIF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EIF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average19.3x
CHR Chorus Aviation
10.2x24.2%CA$445.7m
AC Air Canada
2.8x-15.3%CA$6.1b
CJT Cargojet
55.3x20.7%CA$2.2b
MTL Mullen Group
8.8x6.9%CA$1.1b
EIF Exchange Income
17.1x22.8%CA$2.1b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EIF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the peer average (19.3x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EIF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.8%
n/an/an/a
No. of CompaniesPE048121620

Fetching data

0 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Industry Avg.n/a15.8%
n/an/an/a
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EIF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (9x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EIF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EIF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio17.1x
Fair PE Ratio17.4x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EIF is good value based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.4x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EIF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$43.46
CA$63.61
+46.4%
5.7%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
Jun ’25CA$44.32
CA$63.61
+43.5%
5.7%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
May ’25CA$46.70
CA$63.95
+36.9%
5.0%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a10
Apr ’25CA$49.37
CA$63.95
+29.5%
5.0%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a10
Mar ’25CA$48.76
CA$63.95
+31.2%
5.0%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a10
Feb ’25CA$46.62
CA$63.05
+35.2%
4.5%CA$70.00CA$60.00n/a10
Jan ’25CA$45.10
CA$63.75
+41.4%
4.8%CA$70.00CA$60.00n/a10
Dec ’24CA$46.03
CA$63.40
+37.7%
5.5%CA$70.00CA$58.00n/a10
Nov ’24CA$42.96
CA$67.15
+56.3%
3.4%CA$71.00CA$64.50n/a10
Oct ’24CA$44.84
CA$67.75
+51.1%
3.8%CA$73.00CA$64.50n/a10
Sep ’24CA$48.34
CA$67.75
+40.2%
3.8%CA$73.00CA$64.50n/a10
Aug ’24CA$50.29
CA$67.75
+34.7%
3.9%CA$73.00CA$64.50n/a10
Jul ’24CA$52.41
CA$67.45
+28.7%
3.2%CA$71.00CA$64.50n/a10
Jun ’24CA$52.09
CA$65.86
+26.4%
4.0%CA$71.00CA$60.00CA$44.3211
May ’24CA$52.26
CA$63.91
+22.3%
3.9%CA$67.00CA$59.00CA$46.7011
Apr ’24CA$53.55
CA$63.31
+18.2%
4.0%CA$66.00CA$59.00CA$49.3711
Mar ’24CA$50.87
CA$62.58
+23.0%
4.5%CA$66.00CA$57.00CA$48.7611
Feb ’24CA$54.53
CA$61.64
+13.0%
4.8%CA$65.00CA$56.00CA$46.6211
Jan ’24CA$52.63
CA$61.18
+16.2%
4.8%CA$65.00CA$56.00CA$45.1011
Dec ’23CA$48.32
CA$61.18
+26.6%
4.8%CA$65.00CA$56.00CA$46.0311
Nov ’23CA$45.17
CA$60.27
+33.4%
6.0%CA$66.00CA$53.00CA$42.9611
Oct ’23CA$41.44
CA$61.50
+48.4%
5.4%CA$66.00CA$56.00CA$44.8410
Sep ’23CA$45.81
CA$61.43
+34.1%
4.6%CA$65.00CA$56.00CA$48.347
Aug ’23CA$46.88
CA$58.50
+24.8%
4.8%CA$62.00CA$53.00CA$50.2911
Jul ’23CA$42.14
CA$58.50
+38.8%
4.8%CA$62.00CA$53.00CA$52.4111
Jun ’23CA$46.35
CA$58.50
+26.2%
4.8%CA$62.00CA$53.00CA$52.0911

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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