Exchange Income Corporation

TSX:EIF Stock Report

Market Cap: CA$2.6b

Exchange Income Valuation

Is EIF undervalued compared to its fair value, analyst forecasts and its price relative to the market?

Valuation Score

3/6

Valuation Score 3/6

  • Below Fair Value

  • Significantly Below Fair Value

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Peers

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Industry

  • Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio

  • Analyst Forecast

Share Price vs Fair Value

What is the Fair Price of EIF when looking at its future cash flows? For this estimate we use a Discounted Cash Flow model.

Below Fair Value: EIF (CA$55.6) is trading below our estimate of fair value (CA$89.62)

Significantly Below Fair Value: EIF is trading below fair value by more than 20%.


Key Valuation Metric

Which metric is best to use when looking at relative valuation for EIF?

Key metric: As EIF is profitable we use its Price-To-Earnings Ratio for relative valuation analysis.

The above table shows the Price to Earnings ratio for EIF. This is calculated by dividing EIF's market cap by their current earnings.
What is EIF's PE Ratio?
PE Ratio21.7x
EarningsCA$122.09m
Market CapCA$2.64b

Price to Earnings Ratio vs Peers

How does EIF's PE Ratio compare to its peers?

The above table shows the PE ratio for EIF vs its peers. Here we also display the market cap and forecasted growth for additional consideration.
CompanyForward PEEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
Peer Average11.5x
CHR Chorus Aviation
18.1x69.5%CA$666.5m
AC Air Canada
3.3x-38.3%CA$8.4b
MTL Mullen Group
10.9x6.1%CA$1.3b
WTE Westshore Terminals Investment
13.7x-3.1%CA$1.4b
EIF Exchange Income
21.7x26.4%CA$2.6b

Price-To-Earnings vs Peers: EIF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the peer average (11.5x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Industry

How does EIF's PE Ratio compare vs other companies in the Global Airlines Industry?

4 CompaniesPrice / EarningsEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
EIF 21.7xIndustry Avg. 10.2xNo. of Companies9PE0612182430+
4 CompaniesEstimated GrowthMarket Cap
No more companies

Price-To-Earnings vs Industry: EIF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the Global Airlines industry average (10x).


Price to Earnings Ratio vs Fair Ratio

What is EIF's PE Ratio compared to its Fair PE Ratio? This is the expected PE Ratio taking into account the company's forecast earnings growth, profit margins and other risk factors.

EIF PE Ratio vs Fair Ratio.
Fair Ratio
Current PE Ratio21.7x
Fair PE Ratio17.1x

Price-To-Earnings vs Fair Ratio: EIF is expensive based on its Price-To-Earnings Ratio (21.7x) compared to the estimated Fair Price-To-Earnings Ratio (17.1x).


Analyst Price Targets

What is the analyst 12-month forecast and do we have any statistical confidence in the consensus price target?

The above table shows the analyst EIF forecast and predictions for the stock price in 12 month’s time.
DateShare PriceAverage 1Y Price TargetDispersionHighLow1Y Actual priceAnalysts
CurrentCA$55.60
CA$69.00
+24.1%
4.2%CA$74.00CA$65.00n/a10
Nov ’25CA$54.55
CA$65.61
+20.3%
5.7%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
Oct ’25CA$51.43
CA$64.94
+26.3%
6.3%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
Sep ’25CA$49.39
CA$64.94
+31.5%
6.3%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
Aug ’25CA$48.10
CA$64.06
+33.2%
5.7%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
Jul ’25CA$45.22
CA$63.61
+40.7%
5.7%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
Jun ’25CA$44.32
CA$63.61
+43.5%
5.7%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a9
May ’25CA$46.70
CA$63.95
+36.9%
5.0%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a10
Apr ’25CA$49.37
CA$63.95
+29.5%
5.0%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a10
Mar ’25CA$48.76
CA$63.95
+31.2%
5.0%CA$72.00CA$60.00n/a10
Feb ’25CA$46.62
CA$63.05
+35.2%
4.5%CA$70.00CA$60.00n/a10
Jan ’25CA$45.10
CA$63.75
+41.4%
4.8%CA$70.00CA$60.00n/a10
Dec ’24CA$46.03
CA$63.40
+37.7%
5.5%CA$70.00CA$58.00n/a10
Nov ’24CA$42.96
CA$67.15
+56.3%
3.4%CA$71.00CA$64.50CA$54.5510
Oct ’24CA$44.84
CA$67.75
+51.1%
3.8%CA$73.00CA$64.50CA$51.4310
Sep ’24CA$48.34
CA$67.75
+40.2%
3.8%CA$73.00CA$64.50CA$49.3910
Aug ’24CA$50.29
CA$67.75
+34.7%
3.9%CA$73.00CA$64.50CA$48.1010
Jul ’24CA$52.41
CA$67.45
+28.7%
3.2%CA$71.00CA$64.50CA$45.2210
Jun ’24CA$52.09
CA$65.86
+26.4%
4.0%CA$71.00CA$60.00CA$44.3211
May ’24CA$52.26
CA$63.91
+22.3%
3.9%CA$67.00CA$59.00CA$46.7011
Apr ’24CA$53.55
CA$63.31
+18.2%
4.0%CA$66.00CA$59.00CA$49.3711
Mar ’24CA$50.87
CA$62.58
+23.0%
4.5%CA$66.00CA$57.00CA$48.7611
Feb ’24CA$54.53
CA$61.64
+13.0%
4.8%CA$65.00CA$56.00CA$46.6211
Jan ’24CA$52.63
CA$61.18
+16.2%
4.8%CA$65.00CA$56.00CA$45.1011
Dec ’23CA$48.32
CA$61.18
+26.6%
4.8%CA$65.00CA$56.00CA$46.0311
Nov ’23CA$45.17
CA$60.27
+33.4%
6.0%CA$66.00CA$53.00CA$42.9611

Analyst Forecast: Target price is more than 20% higher than the current share price and analysts are within a statistically confident range of agreement.


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