Stock Analysis

With 57% ownership, Canadian National Railway Company (TSE:CNR) boasts of strong institutional backing

TSX:CNR
Source: Shutterstock

Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Canadian National Railway implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • A total of 25 investors have a majority stake in the company with 43% ownership
  • Recent purchases by insiders

To get a sense of who is truly in control of Canadian National Railway Company (TSE:CNR), it is important to understand the ownership structure of the business. We can see that institutions own the lion's share in the company with 57% ownership. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

Since institutional have access to huge amounts of capital, their market moves tend to receive a lot of scrutiny by retail or individual investors. Hence, having a considerable amount of institutional money invested in a company is often regarded as a desirable trait.

Let's delve deeper into each type of owner of Canadian National Railway, beginning with the chart below.

View our latest analysis for Canadian National Railway

ownership-breakdown
TSX:CNR Ownership Breakdown January 27th 2025

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Canadian National Railway?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

Canadian National Railway already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Canadian National Railway's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

earnings-and-revenue-growth
TSX:CNR Earnings and Revenue Growth January 27th 2025

Since institutional investors own more than half the issued stock, the board will likely have to pay attention to their preferences. It looks like hedge funds own 5.2% of Canadian National Railway shares. That's interesting, because hedge funds can be quite active and activist. Many look for medium term catalysts that will drive the share price higher. TCI Fund Management Limited is currently the largest shareholder, with 5.2% of shares outstanding. With 3.6% and 3.0% of the shares outstanding respectively, The Vanguard Group, Inc. and Wellington Management Group LLP are the second and third largest shareholders.

On studying our ownership data, we found that 25 of the top shareholders collectively own less than 50% of the share register, implying that no single individual has a majority interest.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. Quite a few analysts cover the stock, so you could look into forecast growth quite easily.

Insider Ownership Of Canadian National Railway

The definition of an insider can differ slightly between different countries, but members of the board of directors always count. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

I generally consider insider ownership to be a good thing. However, on some occasions it makes it more difficult for other shareholders to hold the board accountable for decisions.

Shareholders would probably be interested to learn that insiders own shares in Canadian National Railway Company. The insiders have a meaningful stake worth CA$2.5b. Most would say this shows a good alignment of interests between shareholders and the board. Still, it might be worth checking if those insiders have been selling.

General Public Ownership

The general public-- including retail investors -- own 35% stake in the company, and hence can't easily be ignored. While this size of ownership may not be enough to sway a policy decision in their favour, they can still make a collective impact on company policies.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Canadian National Railway better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider risks, for instance. Every company has them, and we've spotted 1 warning sign for Canadian National Railway you should know about.

If you would prefer discover what analysts are predicting in terms of future growth, do not miss this free report on analyst forecasts.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

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Have feedback on this article? Concerned about the content? Get in touch with us directly. Alternatively, email editorial-team (at) simplywallst.com.

This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.

About TSX:CNR

Canadian National Railway

Engages in the rail, intermodal, trucking, and marine transportation and logistics business in Canada and the United States.

Solid track record established dividend payer.

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