Stock Analysis

Canadian National Railway (TSE:CNR) Has Announced That It Will Be Increasing Its Dividend To CA$0.79

TSX:CNR
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The board of Canadian National Railway Company (TSE:CNR) has announced that the dividend on 31st of March will be increased to CA$0.79, which will be 7.8% higher than last year's payment of CA$0.733 which covered the same period. This will take the dividend yield to an attractive 1.9%, providing a nice boost to shareholder returns.

See our latest analysis for Canadian National Railway

Canadian National Railway's Payment Has Solid Earnings Coverage

Impressive dividend yields are good, but this doesn't matter much if the payments can't be sustained. However, prior to this announcement, Canadian National Railway's dividend was comfortably covered by both cash flow and earnings. This means that most of its earnings are being retained to grow the business.

Over the next year, EPS is forecast to expand by 25.1%. If the dividend continues along recent trends, we estimate the payout ratio will be 35%, which is in the range that makes us comfortable with the sustainability of the dividend.

historic-dividend
TSX:CNR Historic Dividend January 27th 2023

Canadian National Railway Has A Solid Track Record

The company has an extended history of paying stable dividends. The dividend has gone from an annual total of CA$0.75 in 2013 to the most recent total annual payment of CA$2.93. This means that it has been growing its distributions at 15% per annum over that time. So, dividends have been growing pretty quickly, and even more impressively, they haven't experienced any notable falls during this period.

The Dividend's Growth Prospects Are Limited

The company's investors will be pleased to have been receiving dividend income for some time. Unfortunately, Canadian National Railway's earnings per share has been essentially flat over the past five years, which means the dividend may not be increased each year. While EPS growth is quite low, Canadian National Railway has the option to increase the payout ratio to return more cash to shareholders.

We Really Like Canadian National Railway's Dividend

Overall, we think this could be an attractive income stock, and it is only getting better by paying a higher dividend this year. Earnings are easily covering distributions, and the company is generating plenty of cash. All of these factors considered, we think this has solid potential as a dividend stock.

Investors generally tend to favour companies with a consistent, stable dividend policy as opposed to those operating an irregular one. At the same time, there are other factors our readers should be conscious of before pouring capital into a stock. For example, we've picked out 1 warning sign for Canadian National Railway that investors should know about before committing capital to this stock. If you are a dividend investor, you might also want to look at our curated list of high yield dividend stocks.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.