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Telesat Corporation (TSE:TSAT) Shares Fly 26% But Investors Aren't Buying For Growth
Despite an already strong run, Telesat Corporation (TSE:TSAT) shares have been powering on, with a gain of 26% in the last thirty days. Looking back a bit further, it's encouraging to see the stock is up 81% in the last year.
Even after such a large jump in price, Telesat may still be sending very bullish signals at the moment with its price-to-earnings (or "P/E") ratio of 6.9x, since almost half of all companies in Canada have P/E ratios greater than 15x and even P/E's higher than 31x are not unusual. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/E.
While the market has experienced earnings growth lately, Telesat's earnings have gone into reverse gear, which is not great. It seems that many are expecting the dour earnings performance to persist, which has repressed the P/E. If you still like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Check out our latest analysis for Telesat
If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on Telesat.What Are Growth Metrics Telling Us About The Low P/E?
There's an inherent assumption that a company should far underperform the market for P/E ratios like Telesat's to be considered reasonable.
Retrospectively, the last year delivered a frustrating 72% decrease to the company's bottom line. Still, the latest three year period has seen an excellent 41% overall rise in EPS, in spite of its unsatisfying short-term performance. Although it's been a bumpy ride, it's still fair to say the earnings growth recently has been more than adequate for the company.
Looking ahead now, EPS is anticipated to slump, contracting by 323% during the coming year according to the three analysts following the company. That's not great when the rest of the market is expected to grow by 23%.
With this information, we are not surprised that Telesat is trading at a P/E lower than the market. Nonetheless, there's no guarantee the P/E has reached a floor yet with earnings going in reverse. Even just maintaining these prices could be difficult to achieve as the weak outlook is weighing down the shares.
The Final Word
Telesat's recent share price jump still sees its P/E sitting firmly flat on the ground. Using the price-to-earnings ratio alone to determine if you should sell your stock isn't sensible, however it can be a practical guide to the company's future prospects.
We've established that Telesat maintains its low P/E on the weakness of its forecast for sliding earnings, as expected. Right now shareholders are accepting the low P/E as they concede future earnings probably won't provide any pleasant surprises. Unless these conditions improve, they will continue to form a barrier for the share price around these levels.
There are also other vital risk factors to consider and we've discovered 5 warning signs for Telesat (2 make us uncomfortable!) that you should be aware of before investing here.
Of course, you might find a fantastic investment by looking at a few good candidates. So take a peek at this free list of companies with a strong growth track record, trading on a low P/E.
Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.
Discover if Telesat might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:TSAT
Telesat
A satellite operator, offers mission-critical communications services to broadcast, enterprise, and consulting customers worldwide.
Moderate and slightly overvalued.