Stock Analysis

Lacklustre Performance Is Driving VIQ Solutions Inc.'s (TSE:VQS) 25% Price Drop

TSX:VQS
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VIQ Solutions Inc. (TSE:VQS) shares have had a horrible month, losing 25% after a relatively good period beforehand. The recent drop completes a disastrous twelve months for shareholders, who are sitting on a 71% loss during that time.

Following the heavy fall in price, VIQ Solutions' price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 3.5x and even P/S above 13x are quite common. Although, it's not wise to just take the P/S at face value as there may be an explanation why it's so limited.

View our latest analysis for VIQ Solutions

ps-multiple-vs-industry
TSX:VQS Price to Sales Ratio vs Industry August 16th 2023

How VIQ Solutions Has Been Performing

Recent times haven't been great for VIQ Solutions as its revenue has been rising slower than most other companies. The P/S ratio is probably low because investors think this lacklustre revenue performance isn't going to get any better. If this is the case, then existing shareholders will probably struggle to get excited about the future direction of the share price.

If you'd like to see what analysts are forecasting going forward, you should check out our free report on VIQ Solutions.

Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?

The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as VIQ Solutions' is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.

Retrospectively, the last year delivered a decent 11% gain to the company's revenues. This was backed up an excellent period prior to see revenue up by 50% in total over the last three years. So we can start by confirming that the company has done a great job of growing revenues over that time.

Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 14% as estimated by the three analysts watching the company. Meanwhile, the rest of the industry is forecast to expand by 18%, which is noticeably more attractive.

With this information, we can see why VIQ Solutions is trading at a P/S lower than the industry. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.

What We Can Learn From VIQ Solutions' P/S?

Having almost fallen off a cliff, VIQ Solutions' share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.

As we suspected, our examination of VIQ Solutions' analyst forecasts revealed that its inferior revenue outlook is contributing to its low P/S. Shareholders' pessimism on the revenue prospects for the company seems to be the main contributor to the depressed P/S. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.

And what about other risks? Every company has them, and we've spotted 4 warning signs for VIQ Solutions (of which 1 makes us a bit uncomfortable!) you should know about.

It's important to make sure you look for a great company, not just the first idea you come across. So if growing profitability aligns with your idea of a great company, take a peek at this free list of interesting companies with strong recent earnings growth (and a low P/E).

Valuation is complex, but we're helping make it simple.

Find out whether VIQ Solutions is potentially over or undervalued by checking out our comprehensive analysis, which includes fair value estimates, risks and warnings, dividends, insider transactions and financial health.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.