LifeSpeak Inc. (TSE:LSPK) Looks Inexpensive After Falling 29% But Perhaps Not Attractive Enough
To the annoyance of some shareholders, LifeSpeak Inc. (TSE:LSPK) shares are down a considerable 29% in the last month, which continues a horrid run for the company. For any long-term shareholders, the last month ends a year to forget by locking in a 70% share price decline.
Since its price has dipped substantially, LifeSpeak's price-to-sales (or "P/S") ratio of 0.3x might make it look like a strong buy right now compared to the wider Software industry in Canada, where around half of the companies have P/S ratios above 2.9x and even P/S above 10x are quite common. Nonetheless, we'd need to dig a little deeper to determine if there is a rational basis for the highly reduced P/S.
View our latest analysis for LifeSpeak
How LifeSpeak Has Been Performing
LifeSpeak certainly has been doing a good job lately as it's been growing revenue more than most other companies. One possibility is that the P/S ratio is low because investors think this strong revenue performance might be less impressive moving forward. If you like the company, you'd be hoping this isn't the case so that you could potentially pick up some stock while it's out of favour.
Want the full picture on analyst estimates for the company? Then our free report on LifeSpeak will help you uncover what's on the horizon.Do Revenue Forecasts Match The Low P/S Ratio?
The only time you'd be truly comfortable seeing a P/S as depressed as LifeSpeak's is when the company's growth is on track to lag the industry decidedly.
Taking a look back first, we see that the company grew revenue by an impressive 32% last year. This great performance means it was also able to deliver immense revenue growth over the last three years. Therefore, it's fair to say the revenue growth recently has been superb for the company.
Turning to the outlook, the next year should generate growth of 3.5% as estimated by the six analysts watching the company. That's shaping up to be materially lower than the 18% growth forecast for the broader industry.
In light of this, it's understandable that LifeSpeak's P/S sits below the majority of other companies. It seems most investors are expecting to see limited future growth and are only willing to pay a reduced amount for the stock.
The Final Word
Having almost fallen off a cliff, LifeSpeak's share price has pulled its P/S way down as well. It's argued the price-to-sales ratio is an inferior measure of value within certain industries, but it can be a powerful business sentiment indicator.
We've established that LifeSpeak maintains its low P/S on the weakness of its forecast growth being lower than the wider industry, as expected. At this stage investors feel the potential for an improvement in revenue isn't great enough to justify a higher P/S ratio. The company will need a change of fortune to justify the P/S rising higher in the future.
It's always necessary to consider the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 3 warning signs with LifeSpeak, and understanding these should be part of your investment process.
If you're unsure about the strength of LifeSpeak's business, why not explore our interactive list of stocks with solid business fundamentals for some other companies you may have missed.
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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.
About TSX:LSPK
LifeSpeak
Provides software-as-a-service platform for digital mental, physical, and wellbeing resources in Canada and the United States.
Good value slight.
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