Lightspeed Commerce Inc.'s (TSE:LSPD) latest 5.7% decline adds to one-year losses, institutional investors may consider drastic measures

Simply Wall St

Key Insights

  • Institutions' substantial holdings in Lightspeed Commerce implies that they have significant influence over the company's share price
  • A total of 9 investors have a majority stake in the company with 51% ownership
  • Ownership research along with analyst forecasts data help provide a good understanding of opportunities in a stock

A look at the shareholders of Lightspeed Commerce Inc. (TSE:LSPD) can tell us which group is most powerful. With 63% stake, institutions possess the maximum shares in the company. Put another way, the group faces the maximum upside potential (or downside risk).

As a result, institutional investors endured the highest losses last week after market cap fell by CA$176m. Needless to say, the recent loss which further adds to the one-year loss to shareholders of 50% might not go down well especially with this category of shareholders. Also referred to as "smart money", institutions have a lot of sway over how a stock's price moves. As a result, if the decline continues, institutional investors may be pressured to sell Lightspeed Commerce which might hurt individual investors.

Let's take a closer look to see what the different types of shareholders can tell us about Lightspeed Commerce.

Check out our latest analysis for Lightspeed Commerce

TSX:LSPD Ownership Breakdown March 29th 2023

What Does The Institutional Ownership Tell Us About Lightspeed Commerce?

Institutional investors commonly compare their own returns to the returns of a commonly followed index. So they generally do consider buying larger companies that are included in the relevant benchmark index.

Lightspeed Commerce already has institutions on the share registry. Indeed, they own a respectable stake in the company. This implies the analysts working for those institutions have looked at the stock and they like it. But just like anyone else, they could be wrong. When multiple institutions own a stock, there's always a risk that they are in a 'crowded trade'. When such a trade goes wrong, multiple parties may compete to sell stock fast. This risk is higher in a company without a history of growth. You can see Lightspeed Commerce's historic earnings and revenue below, but keep in mind there's always more to the story.

TSX:LSPD Earnings and Revenue Growth March 29th 2023

Investors should note that institutions actually own more than half the company, so they can collectively wield significant power. We note that hedge funds don't have a meaningful investment in Lightspeed Commerce. Looking at our data, we can see that the largest shareholder is Caisse de dépôt et placement du Québec with 16% of shares outstanding. Fidelity International Ltd is the second largest shareholder owning 11% of common stock, and Dax Dasilva holds about 9.3% of the company stock. Dax Dasilva, who is the third-largest shareholder, also happens to hold the title of Chairman of the Board.

We did some more digging and found that 9 of the top shareholders account for roughly 51% of the register, implying that along with larger shareholders, there are a few smaller shareholders, thereby balancing out each others interests somewhat.

While studying institutional ownership for a company can add value to your research, it is also a good practice to research analyst recommendations to get a deeper understand of a stock's expected performance. There are a reasonable number of analysts covering the stock, so it might be useful to find out their aggregate view on the future.

Insider Ownership Of Lightspeed Commerce

While the precise definition of an insider can be subjective, almost everyone considers board members to be insiders. Management ultimately answers to the board. However, it is not uncommon for managers to be executive board members, especially if they are a founder or the CEO.

Most consider insider ownership a positive because it can indicate the board is well aligned with other shareholders. However, on some occasions too much power is concentrated within this group.

Our most recent data indicates that insiders own some shares in Lightspeed Commerce Inc.. This is a big company, so it is good to see this level of alignment. Insiders own CA$292m worth of shares (at current prices). If you would like to explore the question of insider alignment, you can click here to see if insiders have been buying or selling.

General Public Ownership

With a 28% ownership, the general public, mostly comprising of individual investors, have some degree of sway over Lightspeed Commerce. This size of ownership, while considerable, may not be enough to change company policy if the decision is not in sync with other large shareholders.

Next Steps:

It's always worth thinking about the different groups who own shares in a company. But to understand Lightspeed Commerce better, we need to consider many other factors. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Lightspeed Commerce , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.

Ultimately the future is most important. You can access this free report on analyst forecasts for the company.

NB: Figures in this article are calculated using data from the last twelve months, which refer to the 12-month period ending on the last date of the month the financial statement is dated. This may not be consistent with full year annual report figures.

Valuation is complex, but we're here to simplify it.

Discover if Lightspeed Commerce might be undervalued or overvalued with our detailed analysis, featuring fair value estimates, potential risks, dividends, insider trades, and its financial condition.

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This article by Simply Wall St is general in nature. We provide commentary based on historical data and analyst forecasts only using an unbiased methodology and our articles are not intended to be financial advice. It does not constitute a recommendation to buy or sell any stock, and does not take account of your objectives, or your financial situation. We aim to bring you long-term focused analysis driven by fundamental data. Note that our analysis may not factor in the latest price-sensitive company announcements or qualitative material. Simply Wall St has no position in any stocks mentioned.