It's been a pretty great week for Enghouse Systems Limited (TSE:ENGH) shareholders, with its shares surging 18% to CA$47.90 in the week since its latest annual results. It looks like a credible result overall - although revenues of CA$386m were in line with what analysts predicted, Enghouse Systems surprised by delivering a profit of CA$1.29 per share, a notable 11% above expectations. Earnings are an important time for investors, as they can track a company's performance, look at what top analysts are forecasting for next year, and see if there's been a change in sentiment towards the company. Readers will be glad to know we've aggregated the latest forecasts to see whether analysts have changed their mind on Enghouse Systems after the latest results.
Taking into account the latest results, the latest consensus from Enghouse Systems's four analysts is for revenues of CA$457.1m in 2020, which would reflect a notable 18% improvement in sales compared to the last 12 months. Earnings per share are forecast to be CA$1.29, approximately in line with the last 12 months. In the lead-up to this report, analysts had been modelling revenues of CA$451.3m and earnings per share (EPS) of CA$1.23 in 2020. So the consensus seems to have become somewhat more optimistic on Enghouse Systems's earnings potential following these results.
Analysts have been lifting their price targets on the back of the earnings upgrade, with the consensus price target rising 15% to CA$51.60. The consensus price target just an average of individual analyst targets, so - considering that the price target changed, it would be handy to see how wide the range of underlying estimates is. Currently, the most bullish analyst values Enghouse Systems at CA$50.00 per share, while the most bearish prices it at CA$43.00. Still, with such a tight range of estimates, it suggests analysts have a pretty good idea of what they think the company is worth.
It can also be useful to step back and take a broader view of how analyst forecasts compare to Enghouse Systems's performance in recent years. It's clear from the latest estimates that Enghouse Systems's rate of growth is expected to accelerate meaningfully, with forecast 18% revenue growth noticeably faster than its historical growth of 8.4%p.a. over the past five years. Other similar companies in the industry (with analyst coverage) are also forecast to grow their revenue at 16% per year. Factoring in the forecast acceleration in revenue, it's pretty clear that Enghouse Systems is expected to grow at about the same rate as the wider market.
The Bottom Line
The most important thing to take away from this is that analysts upgraded their earnings per share estimates, suggesting that there has been a clear increase in optimism towards Enghouse Systems following these results. Happily, there were no real changes to sales forecasts, with the business still expected to grow in line with the overall market. There was also a nice increase in the price target, with analysts feeling that the intrinsic value of the business is improving.
With that said, the long-term trajectory of the company's earnings is a lot more important than next year. We have estimates - from multiple Enghouse Systems analysts - going out to 2021, and you can see them free on our platform here.
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